Lazio vs Genoa Prediction, 1/30/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/29/2026

Game: Lazio vs Genoa

Date: Friday, January 30, 2026

Location: Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Lazio (7-7-6) hosts Genoa (4-8-9) at Stadio Olimpico in Roma, Italy on Friday. Lazio are priced at +125 and Genoa are at -150. The total is set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Ivan Provedel for Lazio and Nicola Leali for Genoa.

soccer picks Valentin Castellanos Lazio predictions best bet odds

The White and Sky Blues have given up 16 goals while surrendering 0.80 goals per 90 minutes, and opposing clubs have compiled 84 SoT on them. They have compiled 10 shut outs, which has them at a rate of 50.0% over the course of the season. Lazio has amassed 41 yellow cards so far this year and 7 red cards. The White and Sky Blues rank 14th in the matter of expected goals with 21.4, and the expected goals against are sitting at 25.3. So far this season, this squad comes in with an average of 1.40 pts per contest (28 points) and also have a rank of 14th in Big 5 soccer with 13 assists. The team's difference in goals is at 5 with the help of 21 goals scored and also 16 goals relinquished. Lazio has amassed 68 saves and they have a save percentage of 81.0% over the course of the season.

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The Griffin have an average of 1.0 pts/match while having 14 assists and 2 red cards. Genoa C.F.C. has earned a clean sheet rate of 19.0% this year and also 43 yellow card cautions. Genoa is ranked 13th in the category of goals relinquished having 29, and their goal difference sits at -7. For the year, Genoa C.F.C. has a save % of 68.1% (91 shots on target against), and also are 16th among Big 5 teams with 20 points. The club's goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.38 with 63 saves, and they have compiled 4 clean sheets. Genoa has amassed 22 goals and this team's expected goals for the season sits at 24.9.

The man defending the goal for Lazio is Ivan Provedel. Provedel has seen the pitch for a total of 17,333 mins and has tallied 565 stops in his career. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.37 (264 total goals conceded) and he has a save percentage of 68.7%. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 823 shots tried against him in 192 starting assignments. Provedel (74-46-72 record in his career) has accounted for 56 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 29.1%% shutout percentage.

Nicola Leali is expected to look after the net for Genoa. So far in his pro soccer career, Leali has allowed 167 goals while earning 353 saves in 113 starting assignments. Leali has racked up 25 shutouts while seeing 517 shots attempted against him in 10,018 career minutes. He is the owner of a save % of 68.3% and his shutout rate is currently at 22.5%%. He has allowed 1.50 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 25-33-55.

Valentin Castellanos is a footballer who has a chance to score for Lazio. Castellanos has been a starter in 205 outings in his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.44 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing Argentina has accumulated 89 goals in 18,363 minutes. He has 29 assists while accumulating 207 points so far in his pro soccer career.

Genoa features a game changer in Lorenzo Colombo, who opposing coaches will have to gameplan for in this fixture. He scores 0.28 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 107 outings in his pro soccer career. The forward born in Italy has totaled 9,380 mins and has scored 29 goals. He has accumulated 64 pts so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 6 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Genoa (+125)

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Lazio vs Genoa Prediction, 1/30/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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