Lecce vs Parma Prediction, 1/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/9/2026

Game: Lecce vs Parma

Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026

Location: Stadio Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Stadio Via Del Mare in Lecce, Italy is the site where Parma (4-6-8) will meet Lecce (4-5-9) on Sunday. The Yellow and Reds are priced at +220 and the Crusaders are at -275. The betting total comes in at 3. The goaltenders protecting the net are Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce and Edoardo Corvi for Parma.

soccer picks Riccardo Sottil Lecce predictions best bet odds

The Yellow and Reds sit at 20th in regard to xG having 14.4, and their expected goals against are coming in at 24.0. U.S. Lecce has relinquished 25 goals while conceding 1.39 goals per 90, and their opponents have compiled 77 SoT against them. The team's goal differential is at -13 with 12 goals earned and 25 goals allowed. They have accumulated 6 shut outs, which has them at a percentage of 33.3% so far this season. Lecce has earned 50 saves and also hold a save percentage of 67.5% on the campaign. Lecce has 35 yellow cards on the season. On the season, the club is sitting with an average of 0.94 pts per fixture (17 pts) and also sit at 18th in Big 5 soccer with 8 assists.

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Parma Calcio 1913 has earned 12 goals and their goals expected on the campaign is currently at 17.0. The team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.17 with 56 saves, and they have recorded 5 shut outs. So far this year, the Crusaders have a save rate of 73.1% (78 SoTA), and they also are 15th in Big 5 soccer with 18 points. Parma ranks 10th in goals against with 21, and their goal difference is sitting at -9. The Crusaders have amassed a clean sheet rate of 27.8% so far this season and also 33 yellow card cautions. The Crusaders hold an average of 1.0 points per match while amassing 5 assists and 3 red cards.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Lecce is Wladimiro Falcone. Falcone has seen the field for 12,915 minutes and has earned 455 saves so far in his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 654 shots attempted at him in 143 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.41 (202 total goals conceded) and he has earned a save percentage of 69.6%. Falcone (30-43-70 mark during his soccer career) has tallied 30 shutouts, which gives him a 20.9%% clean sheet percentage.

Edoardo Corvi will reside in front of the net for Parma. In his career, Corvi has given up 13 goals while totaling 39 saves in 14 starts. He has surrendered 0.94 goals per 90 while he holds a record of 6-3-5. He holds a save percentage of 75.0% and his clean sheet rate is currently 28.8%%. Corvi has accumulated 4 shutouts and defended 52 shots against him in 1,248 career minutes.

Riccardo Sottil is a man who can be a force on the pitch for Lecce. Sottil has been given a starting assignment in 93 matchups in his career and scores 0.21 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Italy has racked up 20 goals scored in 8,751 minutes played. He has 15 assists while tallying 55 points so far in his career.

Parma features an attacker in Milan Đuric, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He has totaled 194 points so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 28 times. The forward from Bosnia has been on the pitch for 29,423 professional minutes while scoring 83 goals. He is averaging 0.25 goals per 90 minutes and has started 306 contests during his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Lecce (-275)

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Lecce vs Parma Prediction, 1/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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