Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction, 5/1/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/30/2026

Game: Leeds United vs Burnley

Date: Friday, May 1, 2026

Location: Elland Road in Leeds, England

TV: Peacock

Elland Road in Leeds, England is the location where Burnley (4-8-22) will compete against Leeds United (9-13-12) on Friday. Leeds United are priced at -152 while the Clarets are priced at +126. The total comes in at 3. The goalkeepers protecting the net will be Karl Darlow for Leeds United and Martin Dubravka for Burnley.

soccer picks Dominic Calvert Lewin Leeds United predictions best bet odds

Leeds has allowed 51 goals while giving up 1.50 goals per 90 min, and their opponents have earned 131 shots on target against them. They have earned 7 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 20.6% this season. Leeds United has accumulated 55 yellow card warnings on the campaign and 1 red card. The Whites sit at 3rd for goals expected having 22.7, and the expected goals against sit at 18.7. This year, the club is averaging 1.18 pts per match (40 pts) and are 17th among European teams with 22 assists. This team's differential on goals is -7 by way of 44 goals accumulated and 51 goals relinquished. Leeds United has amassed 86 SVs and have earned a SV% of 61.1% on the year.

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This year, Burnley F.C. has a save percentage of 63.0% (184 SoTA), and are 19th in European soccer with 20 points. The Clarets have put together an average of 0.6 pts per contest while tallying 24 assists and 3 red cards. Burnley has totaled 34 goals and their expected goals for the season is at 22.4. Burnley F.C. has earned a clean sheet rate of 11.8% on the year as well as 57 yellow cards. The team's goals against per 90 min is 2.00 in addition to 122 saves, and they have amassed 4 clean sheets. Burnley sits at 20th in regard to goals conceded with 68, and the squad's difference in goals is -34.

The guy who will defend the goal for Leeds United will be Karl Darlow. Darlow has seen the pitch for 6,300 mins and has earned 212 saves in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.51 (106 total goals given up) and he has earned a save percentage of 67.9%. The goalie born in Wales has seen 312 shots tried against him in 70 career starts. Darlow (16-24-30 mark during his career) has earned 13 shutouts, which leaves him with a 18.6%% shutout rate.

Martin Dubravka will look after the goal for Burnley. So far in his pro soccer career, Dubravka has surrendered 294 goals and has accumulated 620 saves in 194 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.51 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a record of 67-43-84. He holds a save percentage of 68.6% and his clean sheet rate is currently 26.2%%. Dubravka has totaled 51 shutouts while defending 904 shots against him in 17,532 mins throughout his career.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin is a man who has a chance to score for Leeds United. He has totaled 19 assists while accumulating 195 pts in his career. The forward born in England has earned 88 goals in 21,586 mins. Lewin has started 240 contests so far in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.37 G/90.

Burnley stars Jaidon Anthony, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He has collected 78 pts so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 20 times. The forward born in England has totaled 12,378 minutes and he has scored 29 goals. He currently averages 0.21 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 135 games during his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Burnley (-152)

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Leeds United vs Burnley Prediction, 5/1/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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