Lyon vs Rennes Prediction, 5/3/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Lyon vs Rennes
Date: Sunday, May 3, 2026
Location: Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu, France
TV: ESPN+
The Red and Blacks (16-8-7) are en route to Groupama Stadium in Décines-Charpieu, France on Sunday where they will play Lyon (17-6-8). The Kids are priced at -144 while the Red and Blacks are at +120. The total is set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Dominik Greif for Lyon and Brice Samba for Rennes.

The Kids sit at 10th in relation to xG having 21.1, and their expected goals against are sitting at 19.2. Olympique Lyonnais has allowed 32 goals while conceding 1.03 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition have compiled 111 SoT against them. Their difference in goals is 16 by means of 48 goals earned and 32 goals surrendered. They have earned 15 shut outs, which has them sitting at a rate of 48.4% so far this season. Lyon has a total of 83 saves and they have a save percentage of 71.2% this year. Lyon has a total of 58 yellow cards over the course of the season and 7 red cards. For the year, this club averages 1.84 pts/match (57 pts) and also are 5th in European soccer with 37 assists.
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Rennes has tallied 54 goals and the team's expected goals on the campaign is at 22.1. The team's goals against/90 minutes is 1.35 with 79 saves, and they have accumulated 10 clean sheets. This year, the Red and Blacks have a save % of 64.1% (117 SoTA), and they also are ranked 5th in European soccer with 56 pts. Rennes is ranked 9th in the category of goals against with 42, and their difference in goals sits at 12. The Red and Blacks have a clean sheet rate of 32.3% so far this season and also 54 yellow card cautions. The Red and Blacks hold an average of 1.8 points per fixture while sitting with 37 assists and 4 red cards.
The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Lyon is Dominik Greif. Greif has seen the pitch for a total of 5,400 mins and has accumulated 164 stops thus far in his career. His GA/90 is 1.15 (69 total goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 71.9%. The goalie born in Slovakia has seen 228 shots attempted at him in 60 career starting assignments. Greif (25-14-21 mark in his professional soccer career) has totaled 19 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 31.7%% clean sheet percentage.
Brice Samba is expected to look after the goal for Rennes. During his professional soccer career, Samba has allowed 201 goals and has totaled 531 saves in 173 starts. He has a save percentage of 72.8% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 36.1%%. He has surrendered 1.15 goals per 90 and he has a record of 76-44-54. Samba has accumulated 63 shutouts while defending 729 shots against him in 15,684 minutes throughout his career.
Corentin Tolisso is a guy who can be a force on the pitch for Lyon. The midfielder from France has totaled 70 goals in 28,059 professional minutes. Tolisso has been in the starting lineup in 312 matchups thus far in his career and has 0.22 goals per 90. He has totaled 44 assists while accumulating 184 points in his pro soccer career.
Rennes features a difference maker in Breel Embolo, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He sports an average of 0.38 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 233 contests so far in his career. The forward hailing from Switzerland has been on the field for 21,576 mins while scoring 91 goals. He has earned 222 pts so far in his career and has helped on a goal 40 times.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lyon (+120)
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