Metz vs Lorient Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/9/2026

Game: Metz vs Lorient

Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien in Longeville-lès-Metz, France

TV: ESPN+

Metz (3-7-22) are hosting Lorient (10-12-10) at Stade Saint-Symphorien in Longeville-lès-Metz, France on Sunday. Metz are priced at +172 and Lorient are at -210. The over/under is 3. The goaltenders who are expected to start are Pape Mamadou Sy for Metz and Yvon Mvogo for Lorient.

soccer picks Ahmadou Bamba Dieng Lorient predictions best bet odds

The Maroons rank 4th in the matter of xG having 22.0, and the team's xGA sit at 21.3. The Maroons have given up 72 goals while relinquishing 2.25 goals per 90 min, and the opposition have a total of 178 shots on target on them. This team's goal differential is currently at -40 with 32 goals put in the net and 72 goals allowed. They are sitting with 6 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 18.8% on the year. Metz has amassed 114 saves and also have a SV% of 59.6% for the year. Metz has recorded 52 yellow card warnings on the campaign and 4 red cards. On the year, the club has put together an average of 0.50 pts/match (16 points) and they also sit at 15th in Big 5 soccer with 20 assists.

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Lorient has earned 44 goals and the squad's xG this season is at 18.6. The team's goals against per 90 is 1.53 with 79 saves, and they have earned 6 clean sheets. Over the course of the season, FC Lorient has a save % of 60.5% (124 SoTA), and also are 9th in Big 5 soccer with 42 pts. Lorient is 14th in the matter of goals surrendered having 49, and the squad's goal differential sits at -5. FC Lorient has earned a clean sheet rate of 18.8% on the season and also 51 yellow cards. The Merlucciidaes have put together an average of 1.3 pts per contest while sitting with 28 assists and 1 red card.

The man who will protect the net for Metz will be Pape Mamadou Sy. Sy has seen the pitch for 616 minutes and has 26 saves during his career. The goalkeeper hailing from Senegal has seen 41 shots sent in his direction in 7 career starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 2.35 (16 goals allowed) and he has a save % of 63.4%. Sy (0-3-4 record in his career) has earned 2 shutouts, which has earned him a 29.4%% clean sheet percentage.

Yvon Mvogo will reside in front of the goal for Lorient. In his career, Mvogo has allowed 142 goals and has accounted for 290 stops in 88 starts. Mvogo has racked up 13 clean sheets and has defended 426 shots attempted against him in 7,887 minutes in his career. He has earned a save percentage of 68.1% and his clean sheet rate sits at 14.8%%. He has allowed 1.62 goals per 90 minutes while he holds a mark of 29-24-35.

Sadibou Sane is one guy who can make a noticable difference for Metz. The defender hailing from Senegal has recorded 3 goals scored in 2,689 professional minutes played. Sane has started 30 matches thus far in his career and scores 0.10 goals per 90 mins. He has 1 assists while accumulating 7 pts so far in his career.

Lorient has an attacker in Bamba Dieng, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He is currently averaging 0.56 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 58 matches thus far in his career. The forward representing Senegal has been on the pitch for 5,290 minutes and has scored 33 goals. He has totaled 71 points during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 5 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Lorient (+172)

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Metz vs Lorient Prediction, 5/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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