Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, 1/31/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/30/2026

Game: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Date: Saturday, January 31, 2026

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy is where Fiorentina (3-8-10) will try to defeat Napoli (13-4-4) on Saturday. The Blues are priced at -160 and Fiorentina are at +132. The over/under is set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Vanja Milinkovic-Savic for Napoli and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

soccer picks Albert Gudmundsson Fiorentina predictions best bet odds

Napoli has earned 37 SVs and hold a SV rate of 69.6% this season. Their goal differential is currently at 14 by means of 31 goals put in the net as well as 17 goals surrendered. For the year, this team averages 2.05 points per match (43 points) and are ranked 5th among Big 5 teams with 21 assists. The Blues sit at 6th when talking about expected goals having 27.5, and the team's xGA are sitting at 20.2. Napoli has compiled 27 yellow cards on the year and also 1 red card. S.S.C. Napoli has surrendered 17 goals while surrendering 0.81 goals per 90 minutes, and the other team have earned 56 shots on target on them. They have a total of 9 clean sheets, which has them at a rate of 42.9% on the season.

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The Purples are sitting with an average of 0.8 pts per match while recording 11 assists and 1 red card. ACF Fiorentina has earned a shut out % of 14.3% so far this year and also 49 yellow cards. Fiorentina ranks 17th concerning goals against having 32, and the team's goal differential is coming in at -9. This season, ACF Fiorentina has a save % of 66.7% (96 SoT against), and they also are ranked 17th in Big 5 soccer with 17 pts. Their goals against/90 min is currently at 1.52 in addition to 63 saves, and they are sitting with 3 clean sheets. Fiorentina has totaled 23 goals and this team's goals expected for the year is sitting at 29.7.

The man who will defend the goal for Napoli is Vanja Milinkovic-Savic. Savic has played for a total of 14,654 mins and has earned 429 saves so far in his career. Savic (60-52-51 record during his soccer career) has 51 shutouts, which leaves him with a 31.3%% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper born in Serbia has had 605 shots attempted at him in 163 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.05 (171 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save % of 70.9%.

David de Gea will reside in front of the net for Fiorentina. During his professional soccer career, Gea has conceded 597 goals and has tallied 1,503 saves in 528 starting assignments. Gea has racked up 176 shutouts and defended 2,094 shots against him in 47,458 mins throughout his career. He sports a save percentage of 71.8% and his clean sheet rate sits at 33.4%%. He has surrendered 1.13 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 272-122-134.

Rasmus Hojlund is one man who can be a force on the pitch for Napoli. The forward from Denmark has 53 goals scored in 11,805 professional minutes played. Hojlund has been given a starting assignment in 129 games so far in his career and accounts for 0.40 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 11 assists while earning 117 points so far in his career.

Fiorentina features a game changer in Albert Gudmundsson, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. The midfielder hailing from Iceland has played 20,029 mins while earning 93 goals. He is averaging 0.42 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 233 contests so far in his career. He has tallied 219 points during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 33 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Napoli (+132)

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Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, 1/31/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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