New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, 9/4/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/1/2026

Game: New York City FC vs Nashville SC

Date: Friday, September 4, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: Apple TV

NYCFC (16-4-2) are hosting Nashville SC (7-7-8) at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY on Friday. NYCFC is priced at +125 and Nashville SC are at -150. The betting total comes in at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Matt Freese for New York City and Brian Schwake for Nashville.

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The Pigeons are ranked 23rd in the category of expected goals with 19.8, and the expected goals against are coming in at 18.3. NYCFC has given up 31 goals while conceding 1.41 G/90, and their oppositition have accounted for 107 SoT against them. Their differential on goals is 5 by means of 36 goals scored and 31 goals relinquished. They have compiled 3 shut outs, which has them at a percentage of 13.6% on the year. New York City FC has a total of 76 saves and are the owners of a save% of 71.0% so far this year. New York City has tallied 40 yellow cards for the season and also 1 red card. So far this year, the club is averaging 1.27 pts per match (28 points) and are ranked 17th in MLS with 22 assists.

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On the campaign, Nashville has a save % of 77.3% (75 shots on target against), and are 1st in MLS with 52 points. The Nashville Soccer Club average 2.4 points per fixture while totaling 33 assists and 1 red card. Nashville SC has tallied 47 goals and the team's xG over the course of the season is 22.5. Nashville has recorded a clean sheet rate of 45.5% for the year and 40 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 0.77 with 58 saves, and they have 10 clean sheets. Nashville SC is 1st when it comes to goals given up with 17, and their goal difference is coming in at 30.

The man defending the goal for New York City will be Matt Freese. Freese has defended the goal for a total of 11,985 mins and has accumulated 410 saves in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.41 (188 total goals conceded) and he holds a save percentage of 69.8%. The goalie born in the United States has seen 587 shots tried against him in 135 career starts. Freese (50-35-50 record during his career) has totaled 30 shutouts, which leaves him with a 22.5%% shutout percentage.

Brian Schwake will be looking after the net for Nashville. In his career, Schwake has surrendered 27 goals and has 82 saves in 66 starts. He sports a save percentage of 75.2% and his shutout rate is currently at 33.0%%. He has surrendered 0.40 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 38-16-12. Schwake has totaled 22 clean sheets and has defended 109 shots against him in 6,000 career minutes.

Agustin Ojeda is one member of the team who can make a noticable difference for New York City. Ojeda has been in the starting lineup in 61 matches so far in his career and he accounts for 0.20 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Argentina has accumulated 12 goals in 5,534 professional minutes played. He has totaled 14 assists while earning 38 pts so far in his career.

Nashville has a playmaker in Sam Surridge, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. The forward from England has been on the field for 16,250 mins while scoring 109 goals. He averages 0.60 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 162 outings so far in his pro soccer career. He has collected 238 pts during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 20 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York City FC (-150)

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New York City FC vs Nashville SC Prediction, 9/4/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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