New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, 8/16/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 8/9/2026

Game: New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union

Date: Sunday, August 16, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: Apple TV

The Zolos (7-5-6) are hitting the road to Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat NYCFC (4-4-10). NYCFC is priced at -210 while the Zolos are at +172. The over/under has been set at 3. The expected starting goalies will be Matt Freese for New York City and Andre Blake for Philadelphia.

soccer picks Agustin Ojeda New York City FC predictions best bet odds

NYCFC has allowed 24 goals while surrendering 1.33 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have accounted for 86 SoT against them. They have 3 clean sheets, which puts them at a percentage of 16.7% on the year. New York City has tallied 30 yellow card warnings so far this season and 1 red card. The Pigeons rank 3rd in relation to expected goals with 22.3, and the squad's expected goals against are sitting at 22.7. On the campaign, this team is sitting with an average of 1.44 pts/match (26 points) and also rank 13th in MLS with 19 assists. This team's differential on goals is at 7 by means of 31 goals finished as well as 24 goals given up. New York City FC has compiled 62 SVs and are the owners of a save% of 72.1% on the campaign.

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Philadelphia has amassed 24 goals and their xG this year sits at 18.5. The club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.83 with 35 saves, and they have accumulated 3 clean sheets. So far this season, the Union have a save % of 51.5% (68 shots on target against), and sit at 27th in the league with 16 points. Philadelphia sits at 22nd in the matter of goals against having 33, and their goal differential is -9. The Union have accumulated a clean sheet percentage of 16.7% so far this year and also 40 yellow card warnings. The Union sport an average of 0.9 points per contest while earning 17 assists and 3 red cards.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for New York City is Matt Freese. Freese has played for a total of 9,300 mins and has 335 saves during his soccer career. Freese (44-28-33 record in his career) has earned 25 clean sheets, which gives him a 24.2%% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper from the United States has seen 456 shots tried against him in 105 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.30 (134 goals allowed) and his save % is 73.5%.

Andre Blake will reside in front of the goal for Philadelphia. During his career, Blake has allowed 342 goals while earning 826 saves in 284 starts. Blake has tallied 89 shutouts while defending 1,140 shots tried against him in 25,253 mins throughout his career. He holds a save percentage of 72.5% and his clean sheet rate is currently 31.7%%. He has conceded 1.22 goals per 90 mins and he has a record of 125-68-91.

Agustin Ojeda is a footballer who can create chances for New York City. The forward who is from Argentina has totaled 8 goals in 3,701 professional minutes played. Ojeda has been given a starting assignment in 41 games during his pro soccer career and scores 0.19 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 9 assists while earning 25 pts so far in his pro soccer career.

Philadelphia has a player in Milan Iloski, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He has accumulated 50 points in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 6 times. The midfielder from the United States has been on the pitch for 2,540 mins while scoring 22 goals. He sports an average of 0.78 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 28 outings thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia Union (-210)

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Pick:	Atlanta -125
Start:	August 15, 2026 @ 7:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take Atlanta -125 over New York Red Bulls (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 15) We think this is a great spot for Atlanta. They have not been playing their best lately but this will be a homecoming for them as they have not played a home match since May 9, before the World Cup. Even though they lost last time out, we liked what we saw from them at Philly. They were up by two goals most of the match vs the Union but they were a man down and Philadelphia scored two goals in extra time to steal three points. As we stated, Atlanta has not played at home in a long time and we think this return will give them an extra burst of energy and it’s not like the Red Bulls are a great side. They are quite far above Atlanta in the standings but have a -10 goal differential compared to -14 for Atlanta, who have faced a real tough schedule on this road trip. It’s telling that Atlanta is a decent favorite here with their recent performances, and we think this is an amazing spot for them to pick up three points and some momentum for the second half of the season in front of the home fans. Read More Read Less

New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, 8/16/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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