New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction, 7/31/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/28/2026

Game: New York City FC vs Toronto FC

Date: Friday, July 31, 2026

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: Apple TV

TFC (7-4-6) are hitting the road to Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY on Friday where they will attempt to beat NYCFC (3-7-7). NYCFC is priced at -182 and TFC is at +150. The betting total is set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Matt Freese for New York City and Luka Gavran for Toronto.

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NYCFC has given up 23 goals while conceding 1.35 goals per 103, and opponents have a total of 81 SoT against them. They have a total of 3 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 17.6% this season. New York City has a total of 28 yellow cards this year and 1 red card. The Pigeons rank 1st in expected goals with 18.0, and their expected goals against sit at 20.5. This season, this team averages 1.47 points per match (25 points) and also rank 18th in MLS with 19 assists. Their goal differential is currently at 7 by way of 30 goals scored and 23 goals given up. New York City FC has a total of 58 saves and also hold a save percentage of 71.6% this season.

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This season, Toronto has a save % of 59.7% (77 SoT against), and also rank 5th in the league with 16 points. The Reds average 0.9 points per match while totaling 16 assists and 1 red card. Toronto FC has totaled 21 goals and their expected goals this season is currently at 20.1. Toronto has a clean sheet percentage of 17.6% this year and 31 yellow cards. Their goals against per 106 is currently at 1.82 with 46 saves, and they have a total of 3 clean sheets. Toronto ranks 23rd in goals against with 31, and their goal differential sits at -10.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for New York City is Matt Freese. Freese has defended the goal for 9,210 minutes and has 331 stops during his career. Freese (44-27-33 record during his soccer career) has accounted for 25 clean sheets, which gives him a 24.4%% shutout rate. The goalie from the United States has faced 451 shots tried against him in 104 career starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.30 (133 total goals conceded) and his save percentage is 73.4%.

Luka Gavran will be looking after the net for Toronto. In his career, Gavran has allowed 64 goals and has earned 104 stops in 33 starting assignments. Gavran has racked up 5 shutouts while seeing 165 shots tried against him in 2,970 career mins. He is the owner of a save % of 63.0% and his shutout rate sits at 15.2%%. He has given up 1.94 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 5-10-18.

Agustin Ojeda is a footballer who can make an impact for New York City. Ojeda has been in the starting lineup in 40 outings in his career and he scores 0.20 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Argentina has totaled 8 goals in 3,643 professional minutes. He has totaled 9 assists while accumulating 25 pts in his pro soccer career.

Toronto stars Daniel Salloi, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He currently averages 0.28 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 205 contests during his soccer career. The forward from Hungary has totaled 18,799 professional minutes while he has scored 58 goals. He has totaled 152 pts in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 36 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York City FC (+150)

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New York City FC vs Toronto FC Prediction, 7/31/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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