New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Prediction, 5/16/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC
Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
Location: Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison, NJ
TV: Apple TV
The Red Bulls (5-3-5) are hosting NYCFC (5-3-5) at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Harrison, NJ on Saturday. The Red Bulls are priced at +102 while NYCFC is at -122. The over/under is set at 3. The goalies who are expected to start are Ethan Horvath for New York and Matt Freese for New York City.

New York has given up 30 goals while conceding 2.31 goals per 101, and opponents have a total of 66 SoT against them. They have a total of 1 clean sheet, giving them a percentage of 7.7% this season. New York has a total of 24 yellow cards this year and 1 red card. The Red Bulls rank 19th in expected goals with 21.1, and their expected goals against sit at 21.5. This season, this team averages 1.38 points per match (18 points) and also rank 15th in European soccer with 14 assists. Their goal differential is currently at -10 by way of 20 goals scored and 30 goals given up. The New York Red Bulls have a total of 40 saves and also hold a save percentage of 54.5% this season.
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The Pigeons average 1.4 points per match while totaling 15 assists and 1 red card. NYCFC has a clean sheet percentage of 23.1% this year and 21 yellow cards. New York City ranks 9th in goals against with 18, and their goal differential sits at 5. This season, NYCFC has a save % of 69.0% (58 SoT against), and also rank 17th in European soccer with 18 points. Their goals against per 102 is currently at 1.38 with 43 saves, and they have a total of 3 clean sheets. New York City FC has totaled 23 goals and their expected goals this season is currently at 21.0.
The man who is expected to defend the goal for New York will be Ethan Horvath. Horvath has been on the pitch for 1,170 mins and has 40 stops so far in his career. Horvath (5-3-5 mark in his career) has recorded 1 clean sheets, which gives him a 7.7%% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from the United States has faced 66 shots attempted against him in 13 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 2.31 (30 goals allowed) and his save percentage is 60.6%.
Matt Freese will be residing in front of the goal for New York City. During his professional soccer career, Freese has conceded 128 goals and has racked up 316 saves in 100 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.30 goals per 90 while holding a record of 42-26-32. He is the owner of a save percentage of 73.8% and his clean sheet rate is 25.4%%. Freese has 25 clean sheets while defending 428 shots against him in 8,850 mins throughout his career.
Julian Hall is a guy who can be a force on the pitch for New York. Hall has been a starter in 17 games in his career and he has earned 0.56 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing the United States has racked up 12 goals in 1,952 professional minutes played. He has 3 assists while accumulating 27 points so far in his career.
New York City has a playmaker in Hannes Wolf, who can change the course of a fixture. The forward from Austria has been on the pitch for 6,133 mins while scoring 21 goals. He sports an average of 0.31 G/90 and has been a starter in 75 games during his soccer career. He has collected 56 pts in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 14 times.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York Red Bulls (-122)
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