Portugal vs Spain Prediction, 7/6/2026 World Cup Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/4/2026

Game: Portugal vs Spain

Date: Monday, July 6, 2026

Location: AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX

TV: FOX

Portugal (2-2-0) are welcoming Spain (3-1-0) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX on Monday in the Round of 16 of the World Cup. The moneyline on this World Cup contest has Portugal at +275 while Spain is at -110. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Diogo Costa for Portugal and Unai Simon for Spain.

soccer picks Cristiano Ronaldo Portugal predictions best bet odds

Portugal beat Croatia 2-1 to advance to the Round of 16. They opened the World Cup with a 1-1 draw with Congo DR, followed by a 5-0 win over Uzbekistan and a 0-0 draw against Colombia. Cristiano Ronaldo leads Portugal with 3 goals in the tournament, while Nuno Mendes, Joao Neves, Rafael Leao, and Goncalo Ramos have 1 apiece. In goal, Diogo Costa has 14 saves on 16 attempts in 4 games

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Spain advanced to the Round of 16 with a 3-0 win over Austria. They opened the tournament with a 0-0 draw against Cape Verde, followed by a 4-0 win over Saudia Arabia, and a 1-0 victory over Uruguay. Mikel Oyarzabal has 4 goals for Spain, while Lamine Yamal, Alex Baena, and Pedro Porro have 1 each. Unai Simon has 3 saves in only 4 chances in 4 games, so his defense has been amazing.

The man defending the goal for Portugal will be Diogo Costa. Costa has seen the pitch for 15,011 mins and has tallied 291 stops so far in his career. His GA/90 is 0.70 (117 total goals allowed) and he has a save % of 74.8%. The keeper born in Portugal has faced 389 shots tried against him in 168 starting assignments. Costa (126-23-19 mark in his career) has totaled 81 shutouts, which leaves him with a 48.6%% clean sheet percentage.

Unai Simon will look after the net for Spain. In his pro soccer career, Simon has allowed 251 goals while totaling 559 stops in 237 starts. He has conceded 1.07 goals per 90 while holding a record of 92-68-77. He holds a save percentage of 71.6% and his shutout rate is currently at 31.1%%. Simon has racked up 73 clean sheets and has defended 781 shots tried against him in 21,158 minutes throughout his career.

Cristiano Ronaldo is a member of the side who can be a difference maker for Portugal. Ronaldo has been a starter in 683 games so far in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.88 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Portugal has totaled 600 goals in 61,414 professional minutes played. He has 156 assists while earning 1,356 pts so far in his career.

Spain features Lamine Yamal, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He is averaging 0.37 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 79 games during his career. The forward hailing from Spain has been on the pitch for 7,327 minutes and has scored 30 goals. He has 89 points during his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 29 times.

Who will win tonight's World Cup game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Spain (-110)

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Portugal vs Spain Prediction, 7/6/2026 World Cup Pick, Tips and Odds

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