Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club
Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
Location: Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid, Spain
TV: ESPN+, Premier Sports
The Lions (2-2-2) are traveling to Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid, Spain on Sunday where they will take on Rayo Vallecano (2-2-3). Rayo Vallecano are priced at +106 and Athletic Club are priced -128. The over/under has been set at 3. The starting goalies will be Emil Audero for Rayo Vallecano and Unai Simon for Athletic Club.

The Red Sashes are ranked 2nd when it comes to goals expected with 22.2, and their xGA are sitting at 20.0. For the year, this club is averaging 1.14 pts/match (8 points) and also sit at 7th among Big 5 teams with 8 assists. The Red Sashes have relinquished 16 goals while giving up 2.29 goals per 90 min, and opposing teams have earned 39 SoT on them. The team's difference in goals is at -5 as a result of 11 goals notched and 16 goals allowed. The team hasn't earned a clean sheet on the campaign. Rayo Vallecano has a total of 23 SVs and also have earned a SV percentage of 59.0% for the year. Rayo Vallecano has accumulated 17 yellow card warnings so far this season as well as 2 red cards.
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Athletic Club has accounted for 7 goals and this team's expected goals this season is sitting at 20.4. Their goals against/90 minutes is at 1.00 with 17 saves, and they have 3 shutouts. Athletic Club has a clean sheet percentage of 50.0% this year as well as 12 yellow cards. The Lions have put together an average of 1.3 pts/match while having 4 assists and 1 red card. For the year, Athletic Club has a save percentage of 73.9% (23 SoTA), and they also have a rank of 9th in Big 5 soccer with 8 pts. Athletic Club sits at 2nd when talking about goals against having 6, and the team's difference in goals is coming in at 1.
The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Rayo Vallecano will be Emil Audero. Audero has seen the pitch for a total of 24,437 minutes and has tallied 816 stops so far in his career. Audero (88-61-123 record in his career) has 67 shutouts, which gives him a 24.7%% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper born in Indonesia has had 1,212 shots attempted against him in 272 starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.46 (397 goals given up) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 67.3%.
Unai Simon will reside in front of the net for Athletic Club. Thus far in his career, Simon has conceded 297 goals and has accumulated 648 stops in 270 starts. Simon has totaled 84 clean sheets and has defended 942 shots attempted against him in 24,218 minutes throughout his career. He is the owner of a save percentage of 68.8% and his clean sheet rate sits at 31.2%%. He has surrendered 1.10 goals per 90 while he holds a mark of 106-74-90.
Alvaro Garcia is one member of the squad who can be a force in the game for Rayo Vallecano. He has totaled 59 assists while earning 187 points in his career. The midfielder representing Spain has racked up 64 goals scored in 30,966 professional minutes played. Garcia has started 343 games thus far in his career and he accounts for 0.19 goals per 90 mins.
Athletic Club has a player in Inaki Williams, who opposing coaches will have to gameplan for in this fixture. He has 288 pts in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 62 times. The forward hailing from Ghana has been on the pitch for 37,741 mins and has scored 113 goals. He scores 0.27 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 431 outings in his pro soccer career.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Rayo Vallecano (-128)
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