Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, 2/1/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/31/2026

Game: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Date: Sunday, February 1, 2026

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

Real Madrid (15-3-2) are hosting Rayo Vallecano (5-7-8) at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain on Sunday. Real Madrid are priced at -122 and the Red Sashes are at +102. The over/under is set at 3. The expected starting goaltenders will be Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid and Augusto Batalla for Rayo Vallecano.

soccer picks Kylian Mbappe Real Madrid predictions best bet odds

The Meringues have a rank of 1st in goals expected with 44.7, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 21.7. The Meringues have given up 17 goals while relinquishing 0.85 goals per 90 minutes, and the other team have recorded 62 shots on target against them. This team's difference in goals is 26 as a result of 43 goals put in the net and also 17 goals given up. They have accounted for 9 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a % of 45.0% on the year. Real Madrid has a total of 45 SVs and also have a save rate of 72.6% this season. Real Madrid has compiled 36 yellow cards on the campaign and also 4 red cards. So far this season, this squad is averaging 2.40 pts per match (48 pts) and rank 2nd in European soccer with 34 assists.

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So far this season, the Red Sashes have a save rate of 68.4% (79 SoT against), and are ranked 13th in European soccer with 22 pts. The Red Sashes come in with an average of 1.1 pts per match while totaling 12 assists and 5 red cards. Rayo Vallecano has totaled 16 goals and their goals expected for the season is sitting at 26.2. The Red Sashes have a clean sheet % of 30.0% on the campaign and 53 yellow card warnings. The club's goals against per 90 is 1.25 in addition to 55 saves, and they have a total of 6 clean sheets. Rayo Vallecano sits at 11th when it comes to goals relinquished having 25, and their goal difference is at -9.

The guy who will defend the goal for Real Madrid will be Thibaut Courtois. Courtois has played for 40,916 mins and has tallied 1,085 saves so far in his pro soccer career. Courtois (286-93-75 mark during his soccer career) has accounted for 195 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 42.9%% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from Belgium has had 1,487 shots tried against him in 457 career starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.89 (403 goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 73.0%.

Augusto Batalla will look after the goal for Rayo Vallecano. So far in his pro soccer career, Batalla has conceded 92 goals and has 206 stops in 69 starting assignments. He has earned a save percentage of 69.1% and his clean sheet rate is currently 24.6%%. He has surrendered 1.33 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 18-23-28. Batalla has accumulated 17 clean sheets and has defended 298 shots tried against him in 6,210 career mins.

Kylian Mbappe is a man to keep an eye out for Real Madrid. The forward from France has totaled 342 goals in 33,765 mins. Mbappe has been a starter in 375 matchups so far in his career while he scores 0.91 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 113 assists while earning 797 pts so far in his pro soccer career.

Rayo Vallecano has a playmaker in Jorge de Frutos, who pesters opposing defenses. He has earned 86 points so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 28 times. The midfielder from Spain has been on the field for 14,616 minutes while scoring 29 goals. He averages 0.18 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 162 matches so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Real Madrid (+102)

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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, 2/1/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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