Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/6/2026

Game: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026

Location: Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+, Premier Sports

Real Madrid (5-0-2) are hosting Villarreal (2-2-3) at Santiago Bernabeu in Madrid, Spain on Sunday. Real Madrid are priced at -130 while Villarreal are priced +110. The total comes in at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers are Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid and Peter Gulacsi for Villarreal.

soccer picks Kylian Mbappe Real Madrid predictions best bet odds

Real Madrid has a total of 21 saves and hold a SV rate of 72.4% so far this year. This team's difference in goals is at 10 because of 18 goals put in the net and 8 goals conceded. The Meringues have a ranking of 3rd for expected goals with 21.9, and the xGA are sitting at 21.6. Real Madrid has recorded 12 yellow card warnings on the season as well as 1 red card. The Meringues have allowed 8 goals while surrendering 1.14 goals per 90, and the opposition have a total of 29 SoT on them. They have a total of 1 clean sheet, which has them sitting at a percentage of 14.3% so far this season. On the campaign, this club holds an average of 2.14 points per match (15 pts) and also sit at 2nd in Big 5 soccer with 13 assists.

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The Submarino Amarillos average 1.1 points per fixture while compiling 9 assists. Over the course of the season, Villarreal CF has a save % of 57.1% (28 shots on target against), and rank 13th among Big 5 teams with 8 pts. Villarreal has accumulated 13 goals and the team's expected goals so far this year is 20.5. Villarreal CF has compiled 12 yellow cards. Villarreal sits at 14th in the matter of goals against having 12, and their difference in goals is sitting at 1. The club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.71 with 16 saves.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Real Madrid is Thibaut Courtois. Courtois has played for a total of 60,266 mins and is sitting with 1,735 saves thus far in his career. Courtois (418-122-126 record in his career) has totaled 269 shutouts, which gives him a 40.2%% shutout percentage. The keeper from Belgium has had 2,364 shots attempted at him in 669 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.94 (628 total goals given up) and his save percentage is 73.4%.

Peter Gulacsi will reside in front of the net for Villarreal. During his professional soccer career, Gulacsi has allowed 591 goals and has tallied 1,344 stops in 492 starting assignments. Gulacsi has accumulated 153 shutouts while defending 1,931 shots attempted against him in 44,047 minutes in his career. He is the owner of a save percentage of 69.6% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 31.3%%. He has surrendered 1.21 goals per 90 mins and he has a mark of 262-97-133.

Kylian Mbappe is a player who can be a force in the game for Real Madrid. The forward from France has totaled 373 goals in 36,488 professional minutes played. Mbappe has been given a starting assignment in 404 matches in his career and he tallies 0.92 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 117 assists while tallying 863 points in his career.

Villarreal has a playmaker in Gerard Moreno, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He has an average of 0.49 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 366 games so far in his career. The forward representing Spain has played 33,124 professional minutes while scoring 180 goals. He has collected 423 points during his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 63 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Real Madrid (+110)

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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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