Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction, 10/11/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Sassuolo vs AC Milan
Date: Sunday, October 11, 2026
Location: Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia, Italy
TV: Paramount+, DAZN
Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia, Italy is the site where AC Milan (3-2-0) will meet Sassuolo (2-1-2) on Sunday. Sassuolo are priced at +120 and AC Milan are priced at -144. The total has been set at 3. The goalies protecting the net will be Arijanet Muric for Sassuolo and Mike Maignan for AC Milan.

U.S. Sassuolo Calcio has surrendered 9 goals while allowing 1.80 goals per 90, and opponents have compiled 30 SoT on them. They haven't gotten a clean sheet for the season. Sassuolo has recorded 7 yellow card warnings so far this season. For the season, the team averages 1.40 points per fixture (7 pts) and also have a rank of 11th among Big 5 teams with 5 assists. The Black and Greens are 10th for expected goals with 20.6, and their expected goals against are at 20.7. The team's differential on goals is at 0 by means of 9 goals put in the net and also 9 goals allowed. Sassuolo has recorded 21 saves and have a save% of 70.0% so far this season.
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AC Milan has accounted for 10 goals and the squad's xG for the season is sitting at 19.7. Their goals against/90 min is 0.80 with 13 saves, and they have a total of 2 shutouts. The Red and Blacks have compiled a clean sheet % of 40.0% this year and 8 yellow card warnings. The Red and Blacks are averaging 2.2 pts/match while accumulating 8 assists. For the year, the Red and Blacks have a save percentage of 76.5% (17 shots on target against), and they also rank 5th in Big 5 soccer with 11 pts. Milan ranks 6th in the category of goals allowed with 4, and the goal difference sits at 6.
The man defending the goal for Sassuolo is Arijanet Muric. Muric has seen the pitch for 15,532 minutes and has earned 554 saves so far in his career. Muric (73-42-58 mark during his career) has earned 47 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 27.2%% clean sheet percentage. The goalie born in Kosovo has had 759 shots attempted against him in 173 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.22 (211 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 73.0%.
Mike Maignan will be residing in front of the goal for Milan. During his career, Maignan has conceded 393 goals and has earned 988 saves in 384 starts. He has a save percentage of 72.1% and his clean sheet rate sits at 36.1%%. He has surrendered 1.03 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a record of 196-83-104. Maignan has accumulated 138 clean sheets while seeing 1,370 shots tried against him in 34,424 mins throughout his career.
Sebastiano Esposito is a member of the side you are going to want to keep your eye on for Sassuolo. The forward from Italy has accumulated 42 goals scored in 11,922 professional minutes played. Esposito has had a starting assignment in 137 games during his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.32 goals per 90 mins. He has 20 assists while earning 104 points during his pro soccer career.
Milan is being led onto the pitch by Luka Modric, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has accounted for 263 points in his career and has helped on a goal 115 times. The midfielder representing Croatia has accumulated 57,048 mins and has earned 74 goals. He scores 0.12 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 643 matches during his soccer career.
Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Sassuolo (-144)
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