Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction, 11/1/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/27/2026

Game: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, November 1, 2026

Location: Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia, Italy

TV: Paramount+, DAZN

Sassuolo (2-2-4) are welcoming Fiorentina (1-1-6) at Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia, Italy on Sunday. Sassuolo are priced at -210 while Fiorentina are at +172. The total has been set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Arijanet Muric for Sassuolo and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

soccer picks Sebastiano Esposito Sassuolo predictions best bet odds

The Black and Greens are 7th in relation to xG having 21.9, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 21.0. For the season, the club is averaging 1.00 pts per fixture (8 points) and they also are ranked 13th in Big 5 soccer with 6 assists. U.S. Sassuolo Calcio has surrendered 16 goals while giving up 2.00 goals per 90 min, and their opponents have amassed 52 shots on target on them. This team's differential on goals is -4 with 12 goals accumulated and 16 goals surrendered. The team hasn't gotten a clean sheet for the season. Sassuolo has recorded 36 SVs and they hold a SV% of 69.2% over the course of the season. Sassuolo has compiled 12 yellow card warnings on the campaign.

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The Purples are averaging 0.5 pts/match while having 6 assists. Fiorentina is ranked 20th for goals allowed having 19, and the squad's goal difference is at -10. ACF Fiorentina has accumulated 17 yellow card warnings. On the year, ACF Fiorentina has a save rate of 61.2% (49 SoT against), and also rank 17th among Big 5 teams with 4 points. This team's goals against per 90 is currently at 2.38 with 30 saves. Fiorentina has amassed 9 goals and their goals expected so far this season is currently at 22.3.

The guy who will defend the goal for Sassuolo is Arijanet Muric. Muric has played for a total of 15,712 minutes and has earned 565 stops in his career. Muric (73-43-59 record in his career) has totaled 47 shutouts, which leaves him with a 26.9%% clean sheet percentage. The goalkeeper hailing from Kosovo has seen 775 shots attempted at him in 175 starts. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.24 (216 total goals conceded) and he has a save percentage of 72.9%.

David de Gea will be looking after the net for Fiorentina. During his professional soccer career, de Gea has given up 783 goals while tallying 1,955 saves in 693 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.13 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 348-157-187. He sports a save percentage of 71.5% and his shutout rate sits at 32.8%%. de Gea has accumulated 228 clean sheets while he has seen 2,734 shots attempted against him in 62,608 minutes in his career.

Sebastiano Esposito is a footballer who can be a force in the game for Sassuolo. The forward representing Italy has accumulated 42 goals scored in 12,052 professional minutes played. Esposito has started 139 contests during his pro soccer career and he scores 0.31 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 20 assists while accumulating 104 points during his pro soccer career.

Fiorentina has a player in Mateo Pellegrino, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He has 68 points during his soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 4 times. The forward hailing from Argentina has earned 8,106 mins and has earned 32 goals. He is averaging 0.36 G/90 and has been a starter in 87 games during his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sassuolo (+172)

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Pick:	ILLINOIS -2.5
Start:	October 31, 2026 @ 12:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #135 Illinois Fighting Illini -2.5 over Maryland Terrapins (12 p.m., Saturday, October 31 FS1). I don’t expect Maryland to get much of a spark after firing Mike Locksley. With the remaining staff facing uncertain futures in College Park, keeping this team focused could be a challenge. Illinois still has a bowl berth within reach, and this matchup represents one of its best remaining opportunities to pick up a win. The Illini have won the last two meetings with Maryland, taking last year’s matchup 24-6 after a 27-24 road victory in 2023. Bret Bielema brings the experience to keep Illinois moving forward, and his team has won two straight against opponents stronger than the Maryland squad it faces today. Take the Fighting Illini. Don’t miss Doc’s Sports Weekend Card, featuring top plays in the NHL, NBA, UFC, and Breeders’ Cup. Sign up now and put 55 years of handicapping experience to work for you! Read More Read Less

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction, 11/1/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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