St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction, 1/23/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 1/22/2026

Game: St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV

Date: Friday, January 23, 2026

Location: Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany

TV: ESPN+

Millerntor-Stadion in Hamburg, Germany is the location where Hamburger SV (4-5-8) will attempt to defeat St. Pauli (3-3-11) on Friday. St. Pauli are priced at +132 and the Red Shorts are at -160. The total is set at 3. The starting goaltenders are Nikola Vasilj for St. Pauli and Daniel Heuer Fernandes for Hamburger SV.

soccer picks Mathias Pereira Lage St. Pauli predictions best bet odds

St. Pauli has a total of 56 saves and are the owners of a SV rate of 64.4% for the year. Their differential on goals is at -15 with the help of 16 goals put in the net as well as 31 goals allowed. On the season, the club has put together an average of 0.71 pts/match (12 pts) and also rank 17th in Big 5 soccer with 12 assists. The Neighbourhood Kickers are ranked 18th in xG with 12.2, and the expected goals against are 23.7. St. Pauli has 29 yellow card warnings so far this season and 1 red card. Sport-Club St. Pauli has relinquished 31 goals while surrendering 1.82 goals per 90 min, and opponents have amassed 87 shots on target on them. They are sitting with 2 shut outs, which has them sitting at a percentage of 11.8% on the year.

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Hamburger SV has accounted for 17 goals and the team's goals expected on the campaign is sitting at 18.7. This club's goals against per 90 is currently at 1.59 in addition to 50 saves, and they have recorded 4 shut outs. On the campaign, Hamburger SV has a save percentage of 65.4% (78 SoTA), and also have a rank of 14th in Big 5 soccer with 17 pts. Hamburger SV sits at 7th in relation to goals allowed having 27, and the goal difference is at -10. Hamburger SV has compiled a clean sheet % of 23.5% this year and 40 yellow card warnings. The Red Shorts are sitting with an average of 1.0 pts/match while earning 13 assists and 6 red cards.

The man protecting the net for St Pauli will be Nikola Vasilj. Vasilj has defended the goal for a total of 4,499 minutes and has earned 149 saves during his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.40 (70 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 67.1%. The goalkeeper hailing from Bosnia has had 222 shots sent his way in 50 starts. Vasilj (11-10-29 record during his career) has 11 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 22.0%% clean sheet percentage.

Daniel Heuer Fernandes will look after the net for Hamburger SV. Thus far in his career, Fernandes has allowed 40 goals and has racked up 80 stops in 23 starts. Fernandes has 4 shutouts while defending 121 shots against him in 2,106 minutes throughout his career. He sports a save percentage of 66.1% and his shutout rate is currently at 17.1%%. He has allowed 1.71 goals per 90 and he has earned a record of 5-6-12.

Mathias Pereira Lage is a member of the squad who has a chance to score for St Pauli. The forward representing Portugal has racked up 40 goals scored in 18,587 minutes played. Lage has been given a starting assignment in 208 matchups during his pro soccer career and accounts for 0.19 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 28 assists while tallying 108 points so far in his career.

Hamburger SV features a difference maker in Luka Vuskovic, who can cause havoc on the pitch. The defender born in Croatia has accumulated 5,561 minutes and he has scored 13 goals. He scores 0.21 goals per 90 and has started 62 matches thus far in his career. He has accounted for 28 points in his career and has assisted on a goal 2 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Pauli (-160)

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St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Prediction, 1/23/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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