Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction, 1/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/9/2026

Game: Villarreal vs Alaves

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

Villarreal (12-2-3) will take on Alaves (5-4-9) at Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain on Saturday. Villarreal are priced at -150 and the Babazorros are at +125. The over/under comes in at 3. The expected starting goalies will be Luiz Lucio Reis Junior for Villarreal and Antonio Sivera for Alaves.

soccer picks Gerard Moreno Villarreal predictions best bet odds

Villarreal has recorded 38 saves and they also have a SV% of 70.9% for the season. This team's goal differential is 18 with the help of 34 goals tallied and 16 goals conceded. On the year, this squad is sitting with an average of 2.24 pts per match (38 points) and also are ranked 3rd among European teams with 24 assists. The Submarino Amarillos have a ranking of 4th when it comes to goals expected with 28.3, and their xGA sit at 20.1. Villarreal has earned 41 yellow card warnings this year and also 2 red cards. Villarreal CF has allowed 16 goals while conceding 0.94 goals per 90 minutes, and their oppositition have tallied 55 SoT on them. They have recorded 7 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 41.2% so far this season.

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The Babazorros come in with an average of 1.1 points per match while amassing 6 assists and 2 red cards. Deportivo Alaves compiled a shut out rate of 16.7% for the season as well as 44 yellow cards. Alavés has a rank of 7th for goals conceded having 21, and the team's goal differential is at -6. On the year, Deportivo Alaves a save % of 68.7% (67 shots on target against), and they also have a rank of 12th among Big 5 teams with 19 points. This team's goals against/90 minutes is currently at 1.17 in addition to 46 saves, and they have 3 clean sheets. Alaves has compiled 15 goals and their expected goals so far this season is sitting at 19.4.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Villarreal is Luiz Lucio Reis Junior. Reis Junior has defended the goal for a total of 2,718 minutes and has tallied 80 stops in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.93 (28 goals given up) and he is the owner of a save % of 73.4%. The goalkeeper hailing from Brazil has seen 109 shots attempted against him in 30 career starts. Reis Junior (20-5-5 mark in his career) has accumulated 12 shutouts, which leaves him with a 39.7%% clean sheet rate.

Antonio Sivera will reside in front of the net for Alavés. During his professional soccer career, Sivera has allowed 109 goals and has totaled 233 stops in 95 starts. He has given up 1.16 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 28-24-43. He holds a save % of 68.9% and his clean sheet rate is 24.5%%. Sivera has totaled 23 shutouts while defending 338 shots against him in 8,440 career mins.

Gerard Moreno is a member of the side who can be a force on the pitch for Villarreal. The forward from Spain has tallied 172 goals in 31,899 minutes played. Moreno has started 354 outings in his pro soccer career and tallies 0.49 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 63 assists while accumulating 407 pts during his pro soccer career.

Alavés features an attacker in Denis Suarez, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The midfielder who is from Spain has been on the pitch for 21,778 professional minutes while scoring 32 goals. He is currently averaging 0.13 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 239 outings so far in his pro soccer career. He has earned 118 pts so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 54 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Villarreal (+125)

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Villarreal vs Alaves Prediction, 1/10/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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