Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction, 1/24/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/23/2026

Game: Villarreal vs Real Madrid

Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026

Location: Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain

TV: ESPN Deportes

Villarreal (13-2-4) will compete against Real Madrid (15-3-2) at Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain on Saturday. Villarreal are priced at +120 and the Meringues are at -144. The over/under is set at 3. The goalkeepers who are expected to start are Luiz Lucio Reis Junior for Villarreal and Thibaut Courtois for Real Madrid.

soccer picks Gerard Moreno Villarreal predictions best bet odds

The Submarino Amarillos are ranked 4th in the matter of xG with 29.8, and the squad's xGA are sitting at 21.1. Villarreal CF has conceded 19 goals while conceding 1.00 goals per 90, and the opposition have accounted for 66 SoT against them. Their difference in goals is 18 by means of 37 goals notched as well as 19 goals allowed. They have tallied 7 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 36.8% so far this season. Villarreal has a total of 46 SVs and also have a save percentage of 71.2% over the course of the season. Villarreal has 43 yellow card warnings over the course of the season and 3 red cards. This year, this team sports an average of 2.16 pts per contest (41 pts) and also are 4th in Big 5 soccer with 25 assists.

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The Meringues have an average of 2.4 pts per contest while tallying 34 assists and 4 red cards. The Meringues have earned a clean sheet rate of 45.0% for the season and 36 yellow card cautions. Real Madrid sits at 2nd in the category of goals surrendered with 17, and the squad's goal difference is at 26. For the season, the Meringues have a save rate of 72.6% (62 SoT against), and they also have a ranking of 2nd among Big 5 teams with 48 pts. The club's goals against per 90 is at 0.85 in addition to 45 saves, and they are sitting with 9 clean sheets. Real Madrid has tallied 43 goals and the squad's expected goals over the course of the season is at 44.7.

The man who will defend the goal for Villarreal will be Luiz Lucio Reis Junior. Reis Junior has seen the pitch for a total of 2,898 minutes and has earned 88 stops during his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 0.96 (31 total goals allowed) and he has earned a save percentage of 73.3%. The goalie from Brazil has had 120 shots tried against him in 32 career starting assignments. Reis Junior (21-5-6 record in his career) has accounted for 12 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 37.3%% clean sheet rate.

Thibaut Courtois will look after the net for Real Madrid. So far in his pro soccer career, Courtois has allowed 403 goals and has earned 1,085 saves in 457 starting assignments. Courtois has earned 195 shutouts while defending 1,487 shots tried against him in 40,916 career minutes. He is the owner of a save % of 73.0% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 42.9%%. He has conceded 0.89 goals per 90 and he has a record of 286-93-75.

Gerard Moreno is a member of the side who can make an impact for Villarreal. He has accounted for 63 assists while accumulating 409 points so far in his career. The forward representing Spain has totaled 173 goals in 32,008 professional minutes played. Moreno has been a starter in 355 contests so far in his pro soccer career and tallies 0.49 goals per 90 mins.

Real Madrid has a playmaker in Kylian Mbappe, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He currently averages 0.91 G/90 and has started 375 contests so far in his pro soccer career. The forward from France has been on the pitch for 33,765 mins while scoring 342 goals. He has earned 797 pts during his soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 113 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Villarreal (-144)

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Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction, 1/24/2026 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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