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2014 World Cup Handicapping: Surprises and Disappointments
by Trevor Whenham - 6/19/2014
We are, as I write this, 20 games into the World Cup. We certainly can’t complain that it hasn’t been entertaining. There have been great games, amazing performances, and more than a couple of truly shocking results. There has also been some money to be made for bettors — and that is never a bad thing. As we sit almost a third of the way through games it’s a good time to look at the biggest betting surprises and disappointments so far and what they could mean going forward:
Nigeria vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 6/19/2014
Bosnia’s attack will be more prevalent in this match without the ball domination Argentina had against them in the opener. This Nigerian team is a worthy opponents defensively, but I see Bosnia dictating the terms of this match.
Germany vs Ghana Group G Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 6/19/2014
Germany is a brilliant counter attacking team, and we will see them do that at their best against Ghana, with plenty of chances after Ghana is forward in attack. It'll be interesting to see how Ghana reacts after the loss to the US.
Argentina vs Iran Group F Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 6/19/2014
Argentina is going to attack relentlessly here, as they know Iran can’t counter them pushing forward. It’s going to be one-way traffic toward the Iran goal for most of the match. So expect this to be a tough game for Iran.
Honduras vs Ecuador Group E Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 6/18/2014
Ecuador will likely be in attack mode, as they must, in order to get three points they need. Honduras is likely to again play the role of whipping boys, likely again outclassed by the talent on the other side of the pitch.
Switzerland vs France Group E Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 6/18/2014
France and Switzerland are going to go for the jugular to win the group in this match and I think that plays into the hands of a more talented France outfit. Karim Benzema netted twice in the first match and his confidence will continue to soar atop France’s formation.
Italy vs Costa Rica Group D Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 6/18/2014
Italy, who are now group favorites, are -171 while the Costa Rica national team are +600 in a match between the two winners from the first wave of matches in this year's World Cup. The draw is set at +320 and the total is listed at 2.5 goals.
Japan vs Greece Group C Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 6/17/2014
Japan showed potential in defeat, while Greece was very uninspiring in their loss. The middle of the field is where Japan will look to inflict harm in this match. Greece has a size advantage, but they don’t bring a whole lot to the table to sell me on a potential win.
Uruguay vs England Group D Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 6/17/2014
Neither team is going to hold back any punches, as both countries are desperate for three points after each losing their respective World Cup openers. England needs to shape up their defensive line as does Uruguay. I think we see some goals in this one.
Columbia vs Ivory Coast Group C Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 6/17/2014
While conventional wisdom suggests two teams coming off wins would settle for a draw and take a safe point, I think both want to put one foot through the door as the group winner with a second straight victory. Expect both to attack with that in mind, and I see an entertaining match playing out between these two.
Cameroon vs Croatia Group A Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 6/16/2014
Croatia are comfortable favorites at -125 while Cameroon are priced as +500 underdogs in this Group A encounter on Wednesday. The draw can be had for +270 while the total is 2 goals, -145 for the ‘over’ and +125 for the ‘under.’
Australia vs Netherlands Group B Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 6/16/2014
The Netherlands are listed as huge favorites after their win over Spain, priced at -366 here. Australia enters their second group stage match as +1400 underdogs. The draw is +550. The total is set at 2.5 goals, -120 for the ‘over’ and EVEN for the ‘under.’
Spain vs Chile Group B Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 6/16/2014
Spain are favored at -133 to bounce back from their opening defeat. Chile are +400 against a team they played in the group stages in the 2010 World Cup. The draw is priced at +333 while the total is listed at 2.5 goals, -120 for the ‘over’ and EVEN for the ‘under.’
Russia vs South Korea Group H Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 6/15/2014
Russia is seen as the second best team in the group after favorites Belgium. I am not sure, however, if they are willing to accept a point from this first match, or run with it and go for all three. South Korea would gladly take a draw. I think Russia’s defending is the key to their ability to break on the counter.
Brazil vs Mexico Group A Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 6/15/2014
Brazil will be looking to atone for its own goal against Croatia by jumping on Mexico early and seeing what perhaps a quick strike could mean for this match. Mexico needs to defend flawlessly to have a chance in this match, and they can build off their 1-0 win against Cameroon.
Belgium vs Algeria Group F Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 6/15/2014
Group favorites Belgium are listed as -187 chalk in their World Cup opener. Algeria are sizeable underdogs at +750 while the draw in this match is listed at +333. The total here is 2.5 goals, +115 for the ‘over’ and -135 for the ‘under’.
Ghana vs United States Group G Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Tony Sink - 6/14/2014
Rivals meet once again. Ghana defeated the States in each of the best two World Cups and eliminated them from the tournament in the process. Now is it time for revenge? In this tournament, the USA does have the better team, but with that comes added pressure and the need to finally win some big matches when it matters most.
Germany vs Portugal Group G Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Josh Schonwald - 6/14/2014
These two played in the group stages at Euro 2012 with Germany winning a cagey 1-0 match. I think a similar result will be in order. The Germans have more balance and depth, but no one can account for the brilliance of Mr. Ronaldo. Germany will attack through the middle of the field while the Portuguese do the same out wide on the flanks.
Iran vs Nigeria Group F Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 6/14/2014
Knowing that Argentina is pretty much a lock to win the group, both teams will come out defensive-minded, not wanting to risk allowing an early goal that could leave them with a loss after one match. Both would settle for a draw, but Nigeria will be thinking about three points as well once the second half gets underway.
Argentina vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Group F Free World Cup Picks & Odds
by Guy Bruhn - 6/13/2014
Argentina wants a fast tempo. They will run as if it were an up-and-down basketball game. Their strength is going forward, so expect to see the majority of play in the Bosnia half of the pitch. The underdogs won’t back down, however. There won’t be any slowing Argentina down during the group stages based on how dominant they are at asserting their style of play, so it’s a matter of whom, if any, can best them at their game.
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