Bryce Mitchell vs Andre Fili Pick, 10/31/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 12 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/29/2020

Bryce Mitchell vs Andre Fili

UFC Vegas 12

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 31, 2020

Bryce Mitchell will face off against Andre Fili at UFC Vegas 12 on Saturday, October 31, 2020. The moneyline has Mitchell at -135 while Fili is at +115.

Bryce "Thug Nasty" Mitchell walks into the Octagon with a mark of 13-1-0. The 26-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Andre "Touchy" Fili measures in at 5'11" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-7-0. The 30-year-old stretches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Bryce Mitchell is landing 2.05 per minute while Andre Fili connects on 3.90 significant strikes per minute. Mitchell is landing 59% of the significant strikes he attempts and Fili is connecting on 36%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Thug Nasty" takes 1.36 significant strikes per min and "Touchy" absorbs 3.97. Mitchell also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Fili is able to thwart 53% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Bryce Mitchell is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.13 times per 3 rounds. Mitchell is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of the times he tries and is stuffing 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Fili is taking his opponents to the canvas on 49% of his takedown tries and is defending 69% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Mitchell is the more skilled technician by going for 2.7 subs per 15 minutes while Fili looks to get 0.2 subs per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Bryce Mitchell squared up with Charles Rosa and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Rosa landed 12 of 17 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Mitchell finished this fight landing 60 of 74 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Rosa ended up landing 5 of 10, which means his percentage was 50%. He landed 2 of 7 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Mitchell landed 81% of his significant strikes by landing 40 of 49. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 27 of 36 aimed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes landed by Rosa and 0% of them landed by Mitchell were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Andre Fili, he went up against Charles Jourdain and took home the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Jourdain connected on 98% of his significant strikes at distance while Fili ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Fili connected on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 44 of 171. He ended up landing 36 of 157 significant strikes to the head. Jourdain connected on 62 of 138 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 26 of 85 directed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Jourdain ended up connecting on 65 of 142 while Fili ended up connecting on 52 of 183 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Maurice Greene faces off against Greg Hardy. Greene will be looking to add a win to his record of 9-5-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 258 lbs and measures in at 6'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Hardy measures 6'5" and will fight at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 6-2-0. The 32-year-old reaches 80". In terms of takedowns, Maurice Greene gets his opposition to the mat 0.40 times per 3 rounds and Greg Hardy is averaging a takedown 0.20 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Greene is landing 4.31 strikes per minute and lands 44% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Greg Hardy, who is landing 48% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 4.48 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Thiago Moises is set to take on Bobby Green. Green holds a career record of 27-10-1. The 34-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Moises measures 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 13-4-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding wrestling, Bobby Green thwarts 74% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 39% of his tries. Moises is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 68% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Green is absorbing 3.36 strikes per minute while he connects on 5.13 strikes/minute. Moises, on the contrary, is taking 3.54 strikes per min and is landing 2.68 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Andre Fili (+115)

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