Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis Pick, 11/28/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 15 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/27/2020

Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis

UFC Vegas 15

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 28, 2020

Curtis Blaydes will battle Derrick Lewis at UFC Vegas 15 on Saturday, November 28, 2020. The line has Blaydes at -380 while Lewis is priced at +315.

Curtis "Razor" Blaydes will be looking to add a win to his career record of 14-2-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Derrick "The Black Beast" Lewis stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 24-7-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 79". Concerning significant strikes, Curtis Blaydes is landing 3.55 per minute while Derrick Lewis is landing 2.64 significant strikes per minute. Blaydes is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he throws and Lewis lands 50%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Razor" absorbs 1.73 significant strikes per minute and "The Black Beast" absorbs 2.09. Blaydes also deflects 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Lewis is able to stop 44% of the shots thrown.

Regarding wrestling, Curtis Blaydes is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 6.98 times per 3 rounds. Blaydes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 55% of his attempts and defending 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Lewis is taking his opponents to the mat on 26% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 52% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Blaydes is the more skilled technician by going for 0.6 subs per 15 min while Lewis attempts 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Curtis Blaydes faced Alexander Volkov and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 5. Volkov landed 127 of 177 total strikes that he let go. Blaydes walked away from this fight having landed 116 of 163 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Volkov ended up landing 31 of 77, which gave him a rate of 40%. He finished the fight landing 22 of 62 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Blaydes ended up landing 69% of his significant strikes by landing 69 of 99. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 34 of 60 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Volkov and 43% of them connected on by Blaydes were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Derrick Lewis, he went up against Aleksei Oleinik and wound up getting the win by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Oleinik ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Lewis ended up connecting on 14% of his significant strikes at distance. Lewis connected on 83% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 35 of 42. He connected on 34 of 41 significant strikes to the head. Oleinik landed 2 of 6 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 4 to the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Oleinik connected on 3 of 7 while Lewis was 35 of 42 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Anthony Smith enters the Octagon with Devin Clark. Smith steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 33-16-0. The 32-year-old weighs 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Clark measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding grappling, Anthony Smith is averaging a takedown 0.41 times per 3 rounds while Devin Clark is averaging a takedown 2.76 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Smith connects for an average of 2.97 strikes per min and landing 46% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Devin Clark, who connects on 57% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 3.40 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Parker Porter is set to battle Josh Parisian. Parisian steps into the cage holding a record of 13-3-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Porter stands in at 6'0" and weighs in at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 10-6-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 75". When it comes to takedowns, Josh Parisian stops 56% of the takedowns his opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 45% of his attempts. Porter is taking his opponents down on 40% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 51% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Parisian is absorbing 4.97 strikes/min while he deals 7.07 per minute. Porter, moreover, is absorbing 7.06 strikes per min and deals 6.82 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Curtis Blaydes (-380)

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Curtis Blaydes vs Derrick Lewis Pick, 11/28/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 15 Odds

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