Dominick Reyes vs Jan Blachowicz Pick, 9/26/2020 Predictions UFC 253 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/25/2020

Dominick Reyes vs Jan Blachowicz

UFC 253

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, September 26, 2020

Dominick Reyes will take on Jan Blachowicz at UFC 253 on Saturday, September 26, 2020 for the UFC light heavyweight title. The opening odds have Reyes at -270 while Blachowicz is coming in at +230.

Dominick "The Devastator" Reyes walks into the cage holding a mark of 12-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 77". Jan Blachowicz stands 6'2" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 26-8-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 78". In terms of significant strikes, Dominick Reyes connects on 4.88 per minute while Jan Blachowicz connects on 3.45 significant strikes per minute. Reyes lands 49% of the significant strikes he tries while Blachowicz connects on 48%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Devastator" absorbs 3.00 significant strikes per min and Blachowicz absorbs 2.77. Reyes also prevents 48% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Blachowicz is able to defend against 54% of the shots thrown.

Regarding takedowns, Dominick Reyes is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.24 times per 15 minutes. Reyes is taking his opponents to the canvas on 16% of his tries and stuffing 82% of all takedown tries against him. Blachowicz is getting his opponent to the mat on 52% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 65% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Reyes is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.2 subs per 15 min while Blachowicz looks to get 0.3 subs per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Dominick Reyes fought Jon Jones and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 5. Jones landed 107 of 170 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Reyes ended the night having landed 119 of 263 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Jones ended up landing 104 of 166, which means his percentage was 62%. He landed 31 of 74 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Reyes landed 44% of his significant strikes by landing 116 of 259. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 41 of 169 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Jones and 93% of them connected on by Reyes were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Jan Blachowicz, he faced off with Corey Anderson and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Anderson ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Blachowicz ended up landing 92% of his significant strikes at distance. Blachowicz ended up landing 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 13 of 31. He landed 11 of 27 significant strikes to the head. Anderson landed 11 of 27 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 4 of 19 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Anderson connected on 11 of 27 and Blachowicz was 13 of 31 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Kai Kara-France enters the Octagon with Brandon Royval. Kara-France looks to add a victory to his total of 21-8-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Royval stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 68". When it comes to grappling, Kai Kara-France gets his opposition to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rounds and Brandon Royval is averaging a takedown 1.81 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Kara-France connects for an average of 5.27 strikes per min and lands 38% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Brandon Royval, who is connecting on 48% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 1.93 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Zubaira Tukhugov is set to fight Hakeem Dawodu. Dawodu steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-1-1. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Tukhugov stands 5'8" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 19-4-1. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In terms of grappling, Hakeem Dawodu is thwarting 85% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 10% of his tries. Tukhugov is taking his opponents to the mat on 56% of his tries and is able to stop 100% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Dawodu takes 2.31 strikes/min and he deals 5.28 per minute. Tukhugov, on the other side, absorbs 2.07 strikes/min and deals 2.58 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jan Blachowicz (+230)

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Dominick Reyes vs Jan Blachowicz Pick, 9/26/2020 Predictions UFC 253 Odds

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