Edson Barboza vs Makwan Amirkhani Pick, 10/10/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 5 Odds

Edson Barboza vs Makwan Amirkhani

UFC Fight Island 5

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Edson Barboza will face off against Makwan Amirkhani at UFC Fight Island 5 on Saturday, October 10, 2020. The line has Barboza at -265 while Amirkhani is priced at +225.

Edson "Junior" Barboza steps into the cage holding a record of 20-9-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 75". Makwan "Mr. Finland" Amirkhani stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 16-4-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72". When talking about significant strikes, Edson Barboza is landing 4.08 per min and Makwan Amirkhani is landing 1.55 significant strikes per min. Barboza connects on 43% of the significant strikes he tries and Amirkhani is connecting on 46%. In terms of defending themselves, "Junior" allows 4.22 significant strikes per minute and "Mr. Finland" allows 2.73. Barboza also curbs 59% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Amirkhani is able to curb 50% of the shots thrown.

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Concerning takedowns, Edson Barboza is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.46 times per 15 minutes. Barboza is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of his attempts and thwarting 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Amirkhani is taking his opponents down on 36% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 57% of the tries against him. When it comes to submissions, Barboza is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.1 finishes per 3 rds while Amirkhani tries 1.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Edson Barboza fought Dan Ige and wound up taking the loss by way of split decision in round 3. Ige ended up landing 100 of 189 total strikes that he let go. Barboza walked away from this fight having landed 87 of 152 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ige landed 79 of 164, which means his percentage was 48%. He finished the fight landing 54 of 132 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Barboza ended up landing 55% of his significant strikes by landing 80 of 144. Of those significant strikes, he was 40 of 86 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Ige and 67% of them landed by Barboza were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Makwan Amirkhani, he went up against Danny Henry and wound up getting the victory by an anaconda choke in round 1. Amirkhani connected on 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 2 of 6. He ended up landing 1 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. Henry landed 6 of 16 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 1 of 6 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Henry ended up landing 6 of 16 and Amirkhani ended up landing 2 of 6 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ben Rothwell encounters Marcin Tybura. Rothwell looks to add a victory to his career record of 38-12-0. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Tybura measures in at 6'3" and weighs in at 249 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 19-6-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In terms of takedowns, Ben Rothwell is averaging a takedown 0.68 times per 15 min while Marcin Tybura takes his opponents to the canvas 1.69 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Rothwell lands an average of 3.37 strikes per minute and is connecting on 43% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Marcin Tybura, who lands 50% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.32 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Rodrigo Nascimento is set to square up against Chris Daukaus. Daukaus looks to add a win to his career record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Nascimento measures 6'2" and records a weight of 246 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-0-0. The 27-year-old stretches 80". Regarding takedowns, Chris Daukaus is able to stop 10% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 10% of his tries. Nascimento is finishing his takedown tries on 90% of the tries he takes and stops 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Daukaus absorbs 3.81 strikes per min and he is dishing out 8.28 strikes per minute. Nascimento, notwithstanding, is taking 3.38 strikes per minute and deals 4.44 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Makwan Amirkhani (+225)

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