Geraldo de Freitas vs Tony Gravely Pick, 11/14/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 14 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/12/2020

Geraldo de Freitas vs Tony Gravely

UFC Vegas 14

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 14, 2020

Geraldo de Freitas will take on Tony Gravely at UFC Vegas 14 on Saturday, November 14, 2020. The moneyline has Freitas coming in at +125 while Gravely is coming in at -145.

Geraldo "Spartan" de Freitas looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-5-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Tony Gravely measures 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 19-6-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 69". In terms of significant strikes, Geraldo de Freitas is connecting on 2.97 per minute and Tony Gravely is landing 3.94 significant strikes per minute. de Freitas is landing 47% of the significant strikes he tries while Gravely is connecting on 59%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Spartan" takes 2.30 significant strikes per min while Gravely absorbs 2.03. de Freitas also prevents 49% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Gravely deflects 44% of the shots thrown his way.

Regarding grappling, Geraldo de Freitas is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 4.00 times per 15 minutes. de Freitas is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times he tries and is stuffing 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Gravely is getting his opponent to the mat on 66% of his takedown tries and is stopping 41% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submission attempts, de Freitas is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.4 submissions per 3 rds while Gravely looks to get 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his previous fight, Geraldo de Freitas fought Chris Gutierrez and wound up walking away in defeat via split decision in round 3. Gutierrez landed 49 of 87 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Freitas walked away from this fight having landed 57 of 134 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Gutierrez ended up landing 48 of 86, which gave him a rate of 55%. He ended up landing 18 of 46 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Freitas ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by landing 40 of 112. Of all the significant strikes, he was 26 of 95 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Gutierrez and 95% of them landed by Freitas were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tony Gravely, he fought Brett Johns and ended up taking the loss via rear naked choke in round 3. Johns connected on 8% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Gravely ended up landing 19% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gravely connected on 59% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 26 of 44. He ended up connecting on 9 of 25 significant strikes directed at the head. Johns connected on 36 of 47 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 33 of 43 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Johns connected on 65 of 80 while Gravely ended up landing 43 of 66 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Don'Tale Mayes faces off against Roque Martinez. Mayes comes into this fight holding a mark of 7-4-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 260 lbs and measures 6'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 81". Martinez stands 5'10" and records a weight of 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 15-6-2. The 34-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to grappling, Don'Tale Mayes is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min while Roque Martinez takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Mayes connects on 4.19 strikes per minute and landing 45% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Roque Martinez, who tags the opposition on 46% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 0.75 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Cory McKenna is set to square up against Kay Hansen. Hansen walks into the Octagon with a record of 7-3-0. The 21-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". McKenna stands in at 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 5-1-0. The 21-year-old reaches 58". In terms of grappling, Kay Hansen defends against 50% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 18% of the times she tries. McKenna is taking her opponents down on 50% of her tries and defends against 50% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Hansen takes 2.09 strikes/minute while she is dealing 2.49 strikes/min. McKenna, moreover, is absorbing 1.60 strikes per min and is landing 3.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tony Gravely (-145)

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Geraldo de Freitas vs Tony Gravely Pick, 11/14/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 14 Odds

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