Journey Newson vs Randy Costa Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/17/2020

Journey Newson vs Randy Costa

UFC Vegas 11

UFC Apex

Saturday, September 19, 2020

Journey Newson will enter the Octagon with Randy Costa at UFC Vegas 11 on Saturday, September 19, 2020. The opening moneyline has Newson coming in at -135 while Costa is priced at +115.

Journey Newson will be looking to add a win to his record of 9-2-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Randy "The Zohan" Costa stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a record of 5-1-0. The 26-year-old stretches 73". When talking about significant strikes, Journey Newson connects on 2.81 per min and Randy Costa connects on 8.05 significant strikes per min. Newson is landing 33% of the significant strikes he tries while Costa connects on 46%. In terms of defending themselves, Newson absorbs 2.62 significant strikes per minute and "The Zohan" takes 5.56. Newson also stops 66% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Costa is able to deflect 57% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of wrestling, Journey Newson is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min. Newson is finishing his takedown attempts on 10% of the times he tries and is defending 5% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Costa is scoring a takedown on 10% of his takedown tries and is defending 95% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Newson is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.0 finish per 3 rounds while Costa tries 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Journey Newson went up against Domingo Pilarte and lost by no contest because of a failed drug test by Newsome after the fight. Pilarte ended up landing 1 of 4 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Newson walked away from this fight having landed 7 of 13 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Pilarte landed 1 of 4, giving him a percentage of 25%. He ended up landing 0 of 3 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Newson landed 60% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 6 of 10.

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In the last bout for Randy Costa, he faced off with Boston Salmon and wound up taking home the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Salmon connected on 91% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Costa ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Costa ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 22 of 44. He connected on 21 of 41 significant strikes to the head. Salmon ended up landing 12 of 22 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 13 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Salmon was 16 of 26 and Costa was 23 of 45 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Andre Ewell faces off against Irwin Rivera. Ewell looks to add a victory to his record of 16-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Rivera stands 5'6" and weighs 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 10-5-0. The 31-year-old reaches 67". When it comes to grappling, Andre Ewell gets his opposition to the mat 0.21 times per 15 minutes while Irwin Rivera takes his opponents to the mat 1.00 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Ewell lands an average of 3.74 strikes per min and landing 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Irwin Rivera, who is landing 41% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 2.33 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Randa Markos is set to encounter Mackenzie Dern. Dern looks to add a victory to her career total of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Markos measures in at 5'4" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her record of 10-9-1. The 35-year-old extends her reach 63". In terms of wrestling, Mackenzie Dern thwarts 10% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 7% of her tries. Markos is taking her opponents down on 28% of her tries and is able to thwart 58% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Dern is taking 3.97 strikes per min while she lands 3.14 strikes per min. Markos, notwithstanding, absorbs 3.31 strikes per min and is dealing 2.96 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Randy Costa (+115)

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Journey Newson vs Randy Costa Pick, 9/19/2020 UFC Predictions Vegas 11 Odds

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