Kai Kara-France vs Brandon Royval Pick, 9/26/2020 Predictions UFC 253 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/25/2020

Kai Kara-France vs Brandon Royval

UFC 253

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, September 26, 2020

Kai Kara-France will enter the Octagon with Brandon Royval at UFC 253 on Saturday, September 26, 2020. The moneyline has Kara-France at -235 while Royval is at +195.

Kai "Don't Blink" Kara-France looks to add a victory to his total of 21-8-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Brandon "Raw Dawg" Royval stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-4-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 68". In the category of significant strikes, Kai Kara-France lands 5.27 per minute while Brandon Royval is connecting on 1.93 significant strikes per minute. Kara-France lands 38% of the significant strikes he tries while Royval is connecting on 48%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Don't Blink" takes 3.79 significant strikes per min and "Raw Dawg" allows 2.05. Kara-France also stops 67% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Royval is able to thwart 46% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of takedowns, Kai Kara-France is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. Kara-France is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his attempts and stuffing 90% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Royval is taking his opponents to the canvas on 90% of his takedown attempts and stopping 60% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Kara-France is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Royval goes for 3.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his previous fight, Kai Kara-France faced Tyson Nam and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Nam landed 52 of 155 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Kara-France ended the night having landed 78 of 257 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Nam ended up landing 50 of 153, which gave him a rate of 32%. He finished the fight landing 34 of 131 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Kara-France landed 30% of his significant strikes by sticking 78 of 257. Of all the significant strikes, he was 51 of 218 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Nam and 92% of them landed by Kara-France were thrown at distance.

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In the last fight for Brandon Royval, he went up against Tim Elliott and took home the win by an arm triangle in round 2. Elliott ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Royval ended up connecting on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Royval landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 16 of 33. He connected on 9 of 26 significant strikes aimed at the head. Elliott ended up connecting on 17 of 32 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 6 of 18 to the head. In regard to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Elliott was 40 of 55 and Royval ended up landing 22 of 41 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Hakeem Dawodu enters the Octagon against Zubaira Tukhugov. Dawodu steps into the cage holding a mark of 11-1-1. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Tukhugov stands 5'8" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 19-4-1. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Regarding grappling, Hakeem Dawodu takes his opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 3 rounds while Zubaira Tukhugov takes his opponents to the mat 2.88 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Dawodu lands an average of 5.28 strikes/min and lands 46% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Zubaira Tukhugov, who tags his opponent on 38% of his attempted strikes and connects on 2.58 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Alex Da Silva is set to square up in the Octagon with Brad Riddell. Riddell will be looking to add a win to his record of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Da Silva comes in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 21-2-0. The 24-year-old stretches 73". When it comes to takedowns, Brad Riddell is able to defend against 57% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 90% of his tries. Da Silva is finishing his takedown tries on 57% of his attempts and is able to defend against 66% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Riddell is absorbing 2.13 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.30 strikes per minute. Da Silva, on the other hand, takes 1.47 strikes/minute and deals 1.08 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Kai Kara-France (-235)

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