Louis Smolka vs Jose Quinonez Pick, 12/5/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 16 Odds

Louis Smolka vs Jose Quinonez

UFC Vegas 16

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 5, 2020

Louis Smolka will face off with Jose Quinonez at UFC Vegas 16 on Saturday, December 5, 2020. The opener has Smolka priced at -135 while Quinonez is coming in at +115.

Louis "Da Last Samurai" Smolka looks to add a win to his record of 16-7-0. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Jose "Teco" Quinonez stands in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 9-4-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". In the category of significant strikes, Louis Smolka is connecting on 4.25 per min and Jose Quinonez is connecting on 3.41 significant strikes per min. Smolka is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he tries and Quinonez lands 46%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Da Last Samurai" allows 3.62 significant strikes per minute and "Teco" allows 2.58. Smolka also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Quinonez thwarts 66% of them.

Related: Why the Line Moves: Expert Betting Advice and Analysis

When it comes to grappling, Louis Smolka is not as efficient of a grappler as he gets a takedown 1.61 times per 15 min. Smolka is getting his opponent to the mat on 34% of his attempts and is stuffing 30% of all takedown attempts. Quinonez is scoring a takedown on 45% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Smolka is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 2.0 submissions per 3 rds while Quinonez attempts 0.7 submissions per 15 min.

In his previous fight, Louis Smolka went up against Casey Kenney and wound up taking the loss via guillotine choke in round 1. Kenney landed 32 of 52 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Smolka walked away from this fight having landed 18 of 43 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Kenney landed 32 of 52, giving him a percentage of 61%. He ended up landing 15 of 34 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Smolka landed 41% of his significant strikes by landing 18 of 43. Of those significant strikes, he landed 4 of 16 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Kenney and 88% of them landed by Smolka were done at a distance.

Related: Get UFC tips & picks

In the last fight for Jose Quinonez, he battled Sean O'Malley and was on the losing end of this fight via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. O'Malley ended up landing 72% of his significant strikes at distance and Quinonez landed 0% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Quinonez ended up landing 0% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 0 of 11. He ended up landing 0 of 7 significant strikes to the head. O'Malley ended up connecting on 18 of 22 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 9 of 11 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, O'Malley landed 18 of 22 and Quinonez connected on 0 of 11 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Matt Wiman encounters Jordan Leavitt. Wiman steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-9-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Leavitt stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-0-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 71". When it comes to grappling, Matt Wiman scores a takedown 2.14 times per 3 rounds while Jordan Leavitt is able to score a takedown 3.53 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Wiman connects on 3.18 strikes/minute and connecting on 50% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Jordan Leavitt, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 0.94 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Cody Durden is set to take on Jimmy Flick. Flick steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-5-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Durden comes in at 5'7" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 11-2-1. The 29-year-old extends his reach 67". Regarding takedowns, Jimmy Flick defends against 45% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of his tries. Durden is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 40% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Flick absorbs 1.28 strikes per minute while he deals 2.04 per min. Durden, on the other hand, is taking 4.40 strikes per min and is dealing 2.40 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Jose Quinonez (+115)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Most Recent UFC Picks

• Adrian Yanez vs Daniel Marcos Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Colby Covington vs Joaquin Buckley Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Sean Woodson vs Fernando Padilla Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Davey Grant vs Ramon Taveras Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Miranda Maverick vs Jamey-Lyn Horth Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Navajo Stirling vs Tuco Tokkos Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Michael Johnson vs Ottman Azaitar Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Vitor Petrino vs Dustin Jacoby Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Miles Johns vs Felipe Lima Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds
• Josefine Knutsson vs Piera Rodriguez Pick, 12/14/2024 Predictions UFC Tampa Odds