Nate Landwehr vs Movsar Evloev Pick, 12/5/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 16 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/3/2020

Nate Landwehr vs Movsar Evloev

UFC Vegas 16

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 5, 2020

Nate Landwehr will take on Movsar Evloev at UFC Vegas 16 on Saturday, December 5, 2020. The opener has Landwehr at +465 while Evloev is coming in at -630.

Nate "The Train" Landwehr walks into the cage holding a record of 14-3-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Movsar Evloev comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 13-0-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 72". Concerning significant strikes, Nate Landwehr lands 6.89 per min while Movsar Evloev is landing 4.44 significant strikes per minute. Landwehr lands 50% of the significant strikes he throws while Evloev lands 43%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Train" allows 7.22 significant strikes per minute and Evloev absorbs 2.76. Landwehr also thwarts 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Evloev is able to deflect 65% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of grappling, Nate Landwehr is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds. Landwehr is scoring a takedown on 40% of his attempts and stopping 85% of the takedowns his opponents try. Evloev is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his takedown tries and defending 68% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Landwehr is the more able fighter by attempting 0.6 submissions per 3 rds while Evloev looks to get 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his last bout, Nate Landwehr went up against Darren Elkins and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Elkins landed 142 of 276 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Landwehr ended the night having landed 121 of 237 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Elkins ended up landing 121 of 253, which gave him a percentage of 47%. He ended up landing 101 of 229 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Landwehr ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by connecting on 118 of 234. Of those significant strikes, he landed 96 of 211 to the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Elkins and 81% of them connected on by Landwehr were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Movsar Evloev, he faced off with Mike Grundy and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Grundy ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Evloev ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Evloev ended up connecting on 52% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 79 of 150. He ended up connecting on 53 of 120 significant strikes to the head. Grundy ended up connecting on 20 of 66 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 53 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go, Grundy connected on 25 of 80 and Evloev ended up landing 96 of 173 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Louis Smolka fights Jose Quinonez. Smolka looks to add a win to his record of 16-7-0. The 29-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Quinonez stands in at 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a mark of 9-4-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of takedowns, Louis Smolka gets a takedown 1.61 times per 3 rounds and Jose Quinonez takes his opponents down 2.58 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Smolka is landing 4.25 strikes/minute and connecting on 46% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Jose Quinonez, who connects on 46% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.41 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jordan Leavitt is set to face off with Matt Wiman. Wiman steps into the cage holding a mark of 16-9-0. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 68". Leavitt stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-0-0. The 25-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In the category of takedowns, Matt Wiman prevents 56% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 37% of the times he tries. Leavitt is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of his tries and curbs 35% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Wiman is taking 3.57 strikes per minute and he is dealing 3.18 strikes per min. Leavitt, on the other side, absorbs 0.47 strikes per minute and deals 0.94 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Nate Landwehr (+465)

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