Alex Caceres vs Kevin Croom Pick, 2/27/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 20 Odds
Alex Caceres vs Kevin Croom
UFC Vegas 20
UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, February 27, 2021
Alex Caceres will face off with Kevin Croom at UFC Vegas 20 on Saturday, February 27, 2021. The opening odds have Caceres at -210 while Croom is priced at +175.
Alex "Bruce Leeroy" Caceres will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 17-12-0. The 32-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Kevin "Crash" Croom stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 21-12-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 73". In the category of significant strikes, Alex Caceres is landing 4.15 per minute while Kevin Croom is landing 9.68 significant strikes per minute. Caceres connects on 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Croom is landing 83%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Bruce Leeroy" absorbs 2.91 significant strikes per min while "Crash" takes 3.87. Caceres also stops 65% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Croom defends against 60% of the shots thrown his way.
|UFC Vegas 20||Alex Caceres||Kevin Croom|
|Average Fight Time||11:55||0:31|
|Weight||145 lbs||155 lbs|
|Strikes Landed Per Minute||4.15||9.68|
When it comes to grappling, Alex Caceres is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.55 times per 3 rounds. Caceres is scoring a takedown on 76% of the times he tries and thwarting 59% of the takedowns his opponents try. Croom is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 80% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Caceres is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.8 finishes per 3 rds while Croom goes for 29.0 finishes per 3 rounds.
The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Alex Caceres fought Austin Springer and ended up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 1. Springer ended up landing 14 of 32 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Caceres ended the night having landed 18 of 31 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Springer ended up landing 14 of 32, which means his percentage was 43%. He finished the fight landing 3 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Caceres landed 58% of his significant strikes by landing 18 of 31. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 11 of 22 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Springer and 100% of them connected on by Caceres were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Kevin Croom, he battled Roosevelt Roberts and the match was ruled a no contest of because of a failed drug test by Croom after the fight. Roberts connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Croom ended up connecting on 80% of his significant strikes at distance. Croom ended up landing 83% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 5 of 6. He ended up landing 2 of 2 significant strikes to the head. Roberts ended up landing 2 of 5 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 2 of 4 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go, Roberts ended up landing 2 of 5 while Croom ended up connecting on 5 of 6 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other bouts on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alexander Hernandez faces off with Thiago Moises. Hernandez comes into this fight holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Moises measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 14-4-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 70". When it comes to grappling, Alexander Hernandez takes his opponents to the canvas 2.08 times per 3 rds and Thiago Moises scores a takedown 1.29 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Hernandez is connecting on 3.64 strikes per min and is connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Thiago Moises, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 2.71 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Ramazan Kuramagomedov is set to square up in the Octagon against Alex Oliveira. Oliveira will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 22-9-1. The 33-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Kuramagomedov comes in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-0-0. The 24-year-old reaches 73". When it comes to takedowns, Alex Oliveira is able to deflect 63% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedowns on 37% of his tries. Kuramagomedov is taking his opponents to the mat on 14% of the tries he takes and defends against 40% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Oliveira takes 2.18 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 2.87 per minute. Kuramagomedov, notwithstanding, is taking 9.13 strikes per minute and dishes out 11.67 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony's Pick: Take Kevin Croom (+175)
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