Alex Oliveira vs Randy Brown Pick, 4/24/2021 Predictions UFC 261 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/20/2021

Alex Oliveira vs Randy Brown

UFC 261

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Alex Oliveira will battle Randy Brown at UFC 261 on Saturday, April 24, 2021. The odds have Oliveira priced at +135 while Brown is priced at -155.

Alex "Cowboy" Oliveira will be looking to add a victory to his total of 22-9-1. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Randy "Rudeboy" Brown measures 6'3" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Alex Oliveira connects on 2.87 per min and Randy Brown is connecting on 3.67 significant strikes per min. Oliveira lands 50% of the significant strikes he attempts while Brown connects on 47%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Cowboy" absorbs 2.18 significant strikes per min while "Rudeboy" takes 2.80. Oliveira also defends 48% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Brown deflects 53% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC 261	Alex Oliveira	Randy Brown
Opening Odds	+135	-155
Record	22-9-1	12-4-0
Average Fight Time	9:50	10:28
Height	5'11"	6'3"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	76"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.87	3.67
Striking Accuracy	50%	47%

Concerning grappling, Alex Oliveira is the better grappler as he gets a takedown 2.41 times per 3 rds. Oliveira is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his tries and defending 63% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Brown is getting his opponent to the mat on 46% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 71% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Oliveira is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Brown goes for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Alex Oliveira squared up with Shavkat Rakhmonov and was on the losing end of this fight by a guillotine choke in round 1. Rakhmonov landed 32 of 44 total strikes that he let go. Oliveira walked away from this fight having landed 16 of 26 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rakhmonov ended up landing 13 of 25, which gave him a rate of 52%. He ended up landing 6 of 14 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Oliveira landed 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 9 of 18. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 3 of 9 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes connected on by Rakhmonov and 44% of them landed by Oliveira were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Randy Brown, he fought Vicente Luque and took a loss on the night via a knee to the head in round 2. Luque landed 87% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Brown ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Brown landed 45% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 61 of 133. He ended up connecting on 35 of 102 significant strikes aimed at the head. Luque ended up landing 64 of 122 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 33 of 88 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Luque connected on 76 of 134 and Brown ended up landing 66 of 138 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Dwight Grant battles Stefan Sekulic. Grant has a mark of 10-3-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The switch fighter extends his reach 76". Sekulic measures in at 6'0" and weighs 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-3-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding grappling, Dwight Grant takes his opponents to the canvas 0.34 times per 3 rds and Stefan Sekulic takes his opponents down 1.00 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Grant is landing 3.39 strikes/min and is connecting on 37% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Stefan Sekulic, who lands 37% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 1.47 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Brendan Allen is set to face off with Karl Roberson. Roberson looks to add a win to his career record of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Allen comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 15-4-0. The 25-year-old stretches 75". In the category of takedowns, Karl Roberson deflects 50% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 57% of his attempts. Allen is finishing his takedowns on 37% of his tries and prevents 50% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Roberson is taking 2.42 strikes/minute while he deals 3.00 strikes/minute. Allen, at the same time, absorbs 4.57 strikes per min and deals 3.55 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Randy Brown (-155)

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Alex Oliveira vs Randy Brown Pick, 4/24/2021 Predictions UFC 261 Odds

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