Alex Perez vs Matt Schnell Pick, 12/11/2021 Predictions UFC 269 Odds

Alex Perez vs Matt Schnell

UFC 269

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Alex Perez will battle Matt Schnell at UFC 269 on Saturday, December 11, 2021. The opening line has Perez at -335 while Schnell is at +260.

Alex Perez looks to add a win to his record of 24-6-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Matt "Danger" Schnell measures in at 5'8" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 15-6-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 70". Concerning significant strikes, Alex Perez connects on 4.62 per minute while Matt Schnell lands 4.23 significant strikes per minute. Perez is connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he throws while Schnell lands 38%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Perez allows 3.08 significant strikes per minute while "Danger" allows 4.17. Perez also stops 61% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Schnell stops 59% of the shots thrown.

Concerning wrestling, Alex Perez is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.92 times per 15 minutes. Perez is scoring a takedown on 45% of the times he tries and thwarting 87% of all takedown tries against him. Schnell is taking his opponents down on 33% of his takedown attempts and stopping 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Perez is the more able fighter by attempting 1.3 submissions per 15 minutes while Schnell tries 1.0 sub per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Alex Perez fought Deiveson Figueiredo and was on the losing end of this fight by way of guillotine choke in round 1. Figueiredo landed 5 of 8 total strikes that he let go. Perez walked away from this fight having landed 6 of 14 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Figueiredo ended up landing 5 of 8, which gave him a rate of 62%. He ended up landing 2 of 4 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Perez landed 42% of his significant strikes by landing 6 of 14. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 3 of 9 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Figueiredo and 83% of them landed by Perez were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Matt Schnell, he faced off with Rogerio Bontorin and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Bontorin ended up landing 79% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Schnell ended up connecting on 87% of his significant strikes at distance. Schnell landed 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 65 of 135. He ended up connecting on 38 of 104 significant strikes directed at the head. Bontorin connected on 72 of 124 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 57 of 103 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Bontorin ended up connecting on 89 of 143 while Schnell ended up connecting on 113 of 184 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ryan Hall encounters Darrick Minner. Hall holds a mark of 8-2-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Minner stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 26-12-0. The 31-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Ryan Hall gets his opposition to the mat 0.29 times per 15 min and Darrick Minner is able to score a takedown 3.11 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Hall connects on 2.30 strikes per minute and lands 44% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Darrick Minner, who connects on 66% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.96 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Tony Kelley is set to enter the Octagon against Randy Costa. Costa will be looking to add a win to his career total of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter reaches 73". Kelley comes in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 7-2-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding wrestling, Randy Costa is able to thwart 90% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his tries. Kelley is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the tries he takes and defends against 50% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Costa is absorbing 6.86 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 8.64 strikes per min. Kelley, notwithstanding, takes 4.77 strikes/minute and lands 4.57 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Matt Schnell (+260)

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