Ben Rothwell vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Pick, 11/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 42 Odds

Ben Rothwell vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

UFC Vegas 42

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 13, 2021

Ben Rothwell will face off with Marcos Rogerio de Lima at UFC Vegas 42 on Saturday, November 13, 2021. The line has Rothwell coming in at -150 while Lima is at +130.

Ben Rothwell steps into the cage with a mark of 39-13-0. The 40-year-old steps on the scale at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Marcos "Pezao" Rogerio de Lima stands 6'1" and records a weight of 253 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 18-8-1. The 36-year-old reaches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Ben Rothwell lands 3.71 per minute while Marcos Rogerio de Lima is landing 3.24 significant strikes per min. Rothwell is landing 42% of the significant strikes he throws while Rogerio de Lima connects on 54%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Rothwell takes 4.57 significant strikes per minute and "Pezao" absorbs 2.11. Rothwell also curbs 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Rogerio de Lima stops 53% of the shots thrown his way.

In the wrestling category, Ben Rothwell is not as efficient of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.68 times per 3 rds. Rothwell is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of his tries and defending 70% of all takedown attempts. Rogerio de Lima is taking his opponents to the mat on 66% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 43% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Rothwell is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.4 submissions per 3 rds while Rogerio de Lima attempts 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Ben Rothwell faced Chris Barnett and got a win for the night by guillotine choke in round 2. Barnett ended up landing 34 of 86 total strikes attempted in that contest. Rothwell ended the night having landed 72 of 120 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Barnett ended up landing 33 of 85, which gave him a percentage of 38%. He ended up landing 20 of 69 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Rothwell ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes by connecting on 60 of 101. Of those significant strikes, he landed 47 of 88 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Barnett and 90% of them landed by Rothwell were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Marcos Rogerio de Lima, he battled Maurice Greene and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Greene landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Lima ended up landing 21% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Lima connected on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 14 of 26. He ended up connecting on 11 of 23 significant strikes aimed at the head. Greene connected on 5 of 8 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 3 of 6 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go, Greene was 60 of 72 and Lima connected on 166 of 228 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Philipe Lins takes on Ovince Saint Preux. Lins comes into this bout with a mark of 14-5-0. The 36-year-old weighs 240 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 78". Saint Preux comes in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 25-16-0. The 38-year-old stretches 80". In the grappling category, Philipe Lins is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 15 min and Ovince Saint Preux is averaging a takedown 1.21 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Lins lands 2.66 strikes per minute and connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Ovince Saint Preux, who tags his opponent on 46% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 2.65 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Julio Arce is set to square up in the Octagon with Song Yadong. Yadong steps into the cage holding a record of 17-5-1. The 23-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Arce comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In terms of grappling, Song Yadong is thwarting 60% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of his tries. Arce is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of his attempts and is able to stop 93% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Yadong is absorbing 3.90 strikes per min while he connects on 4.91 strikes per minute. Arce, on the contrary, is taking 2.94 strikes/min and lands 4.31 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Marcos Rogerio de Lima (+130)

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