Danaa Batgerel vs Kevin Natividad Pick, 4/24/2021 Predictions UFC 261 Odds

Danaa Batgerel vs Kevin Natividad

UFC 261

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Danaa Batgerel will face off against Kevin Natividad at UFC 261 on Saturday, April 24, 2021. The opening odds have Batgerel priced at -155 while Natividad is at +135.

Danaa "Storm" Batgerel looks to add a victory to his career total of 8-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Kevin "Quicksand" Natividad measures 5'6" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 9-2-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Danaa Batgerel connects on 5.66 per min while Kevin Natividad is connecting on 2.57 significant strikes per minute. Batgerel lands 38% of the significant strikes he tries while Natividad is connecting on 24%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Storm" absorbs 2.61 significant strikes per min and "Quicksand" absorbs 3.74. Batgerel also deflects 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Natividad is able to curb 54% of them.

When it comes to wrestling, Danaa Batgerel is not as effective of a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Batgerel is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of his tries and stopping 57% of all takedown attempts. Natividad is scoring a takedown on 30% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Batgerel is the more capable fighter by going for 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Natividad attempts 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

In his last bout, Danaa Batgerel went up against Guido Cannetti and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Cannetti ended up landing 11 of 23 total strikes attempted in that fight. Batgerel ended the night having landed 17 of 33 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Cannetti landed 11 of 23, which gave him a rate of 47%. He ended up landing 0 of 7 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Batgerel ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by connecting on 17 of 33. Of all the significant strikes, he was 16 of 29 to the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Cannetti and 70% of them connected on by Batgerel were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Kevin Natividad, he faced off with Miles Johns and wound up walking away in defeat via a punch to the head in round 3. Johns connected on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Natividad landed 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Natividad landed 24% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 33 of 137. He ended up landing 23 of 119 significant strikes aimed at the head. Johns ended up landing 48 of 105 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 39 of 92 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Johns ended up connecting on 56 of 114 and Natividad ended up landing 38 of 142 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Jamey Simmons meets Johnny Munoz. Simmons steps into the Octagon with a record of 7-3-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Munoz measures 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of takedowns, Jamey Simmons gets his opposition to the mat 0.50 times per 3 rds while Johnny Munoz gets a takedown 2.00 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Simmons tags his opponents 0.52 strikes/min and is landing 50% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Johnny Munoz, who lands 62% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.27 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Rose Namajunas is set to square up with Weili Zhang. Zhang looks to add a victory to her career total of 21-1-0. The 31-year-old weighs 115 lbs and measures 5'4". The switch fighter stretches 63". Namajunas stands in at 5'5" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-4-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 65". In the category of takedowns, Weili Zhang is stopping 80% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 23% of her tries. Namajunas is finishing her takedown tries on 53% of her tries and deflects 50% of all takedown tries against her. In the category of striking, Zhang absorbs 4.43 strikes/minute while she lands 6.38 per min. Namajunas, in contrast, is absorbing 3.98 strikes per minute and is dealing 4.13 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Danaa Batgerel (-155)

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