Geoff Neal vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Pick, 12/11/2021 Predictions UFC 269 Odds

Geoff Neal vs Santiago Ponzinibbio

UFC 269

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 11, 2021

Geoff Neal will face off with Santiago Ponzinibbio at UFC 269 on Saturday, December 11, 2021. The opener has Neal at -105 while Ponzinibbio is priced at -115.

Geoff "Handz of Steel" Neal walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-4-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Santiago "Argentine Dagger" Ponzinibbio comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 29-4-0. The 35-year-old stretches 73". In terms of significant strikes, Geoff Neal is landing 4.42 per min while Santiago Ponzinibbio is connecting on 4.65 significant strikes per min. Neal is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws while Ponzinibbio is landing 40%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Handz of Steel" absorbs 4.68 significant strikes per min while "Argentine Dagger" takes 4.38. Neal also stops 62% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Ponzinibbio is able to curb 63% of the shots thrown in his direction.

When it comes to grappling, Geoff Neal is the more capable wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. Neal is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts and stopping 87% of all takedowns attempted on him. Ponzinibbio is finishing his takedowns on 36% of the takedowns he tries and defending 60% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding subbing the opposition, Neal is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Ponzinibbio looks to get 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Geoff Neal squared up with Neil Magny and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Magny ended up landing 89 of 214 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Neal walked away from this fight having landed 37 of 76 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Magny ended up landing 55 of 174, which gave him a percentage of 31%. He finished the fight landing 34 of 144 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Neal landed 47% of his significant strikes by landing 35 of 73. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 30 of 67 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Magny and 85% of them connected on by Neal were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Santiago Ponzinibbio, he went up against Miguel Baeza and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Baeza connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Ponzinibbio connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Ponzinibbio ended up connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 121 of 270. He ended up landing 98 of 245 significant strikes directed at the head. Baeza ended up landing 104 of 249 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 36 of 166 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Baeza connected on 104 of 249 while Ponzinibbio landed 122 of 271 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Kai Kara-France squares up in the Octagon against Cody Garbrandt. Kara-France holds a mark of 22-9-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Garbrandt stands in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 12-4-0. The 30-year-old has a reach of 65". In the grappling category, Kai Kara-France gets a takedown 0.53 times per 3 rds and Cody Garbrandt scores a takedown 1.05 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Kara-France is landing 5.02 strikes/minute and landing 39% of his attempted strikes. The other fighter in this bout is Cody Garbrandt, who tags the opposition on 38% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 3.17 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Sean O'Malley is set to face off against Raulian Paiva. Paiva has a mark of 21-3-0. The 26-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". O'Malley measures in at 5'11" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 14-1-0. The 27-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of takedowns, Raulian Paiva deflects 75% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 27% of his attempts. O'Malley is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries and is able to curb 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Paiva absorbs 4.90 strikes per minute while he connects on 4.24 strikes/minute. O'Malley, on the other side, takes 3.59 strikes per min and dishes out 8.25 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Santiago Ponzinibbio (-115)

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