Gloria de Paula vs Jinh Yu Frey Pick, 3/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 21 Odds

Gloria de Paula vs Jinh Yu Frey

UFC Vegas 21

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 13, 2021

Gloria de Paula will enter the Octagon against Jinh Yu Frey at UFC Vegas 21 on Saturday, March 13, 2021. The moneyline has Paula at -177 while Frey is at +157.

Gloria "Glorinha" de Paula holds a mark of 5-2-0. The 25-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Jinh Frey comes in at 5'3" and will fight at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 9-6-0. The 35-year-old reaches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Gloria de Paula connects on 4.60 per min while Jinh Yu Frey lands 1.90 significant strikes per min. de Paula lands 57% of the significant strikes she tries while Yu Frey is connecting on 48%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Glorinha" absorbs 0.80 significant strikes per minute while Frey absorbs 4.05. de Paula also curbs 70% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Yu Frey is able to defend against 42% of the strikes thrown her way.

Concerning takedowns, Gloria de Paula is the lesser skilled wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.40 times per 15 minutes. de Paula is scoring a takedown on 30% of her tries and is defending 81% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Yu Frey is scoring a takedown on 25% of her takedown tries and is defending 83% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to going for the submission, de Paula is the more apt fighter by going for 2.0 finishes per 15 minutes while Yu Frey looks to get 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time she fought, Gloria de Paula faced Pauline Macias and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Macias ended up landing 36 of 70 total strikes attempted in that contest. Paula walked away from this fight having landed 79 of 132 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Macias landed 12 of 41, which gave her a percentage of 29%. She ended up landing 8 of 32 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Paula landed 57% of her significant strikes by sticking 69 of 121. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 34 of 77 pointed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Macias and 40% of them connected on by Paula were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Jinh Yu Frey, she battled Loma Lookboonmee and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Lookboonmee ended up connecting on 52% of her significant strikes at distance while Frey landed 50% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Frey ended up landing 42% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 26 of 61. She ended up landing 21 of 49 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lookboonmee ended up landing 80 of 137 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 27 of 61 to the head. Discussing total strikes that she threw in that fight, Lookboonmee ended up connecting on 85 of 142 and Frey ended up connecting on 39 of 75 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Leon Edwards opposes Belal Muhammad. Edwards holds a career mark of 18-3-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter reaches 74". Muhammad stands in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-3-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding grappling, Leon Edwards gets a takedown 1.39 times per 3 rounds and Belal Muhammad is averaging a takedown 2.03 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Edwards is landing 2.53 strikes per min and is connecting on 47% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Belal Muhammad, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.86 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Ryan Spann is set to go up against Misha Cirkunov. Cirkunov walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-5-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Spann measures in at 6'5" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-6-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 79". Concerning grappling, Misha Cirkunov thwarts 71% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 57% of his attempts. Spann is taking his opponents to the mat on 41% of his tries and defends against 60% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Cirkunov absorbs 2.89 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 4.18 strikes/minute. Spann, in contrast, is absorbing 3.43 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.27 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Gloria de Paula (-177)

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