Jake Matthews vs Jeremiah Wells Pick, 12/4/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 44 Odds

Jake Matthews vs Jeremiah Wells

UFC Vegas 44

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 4, 2021

Jake Matthews will take on Jeremiah Wells at UFC Vegas 44 on Saturday, December 4, 2021. The opening line has Matthews at -190 while Wells is priced at +160.

Jake "The Celtic Kid" Matthews comes into this fight with a mark of 17-5-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Jeremiah Wells measures in at 5'9" and weighs 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-1. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In terms of significant strikes, Jake Matthews lands 3.03 per min and Jeremiah Wells is connecting on 3.82 significant strikes per min. Matthews is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Wells is connecting on 40%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Celtic Kid" takes 2.16 significant strikes per minute while Wells allows 2.73. Matthews also stops 61% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Wells defends against 11% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Jake Matthews is the more productive grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.93 times per 15 min. Matthews is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of his tries and defending 66% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Wells is scoring a takedown on 10% of his takedown tries and is defending 90% of the attempts against him. When it comes to sub attempts, Matthews is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Wells tries 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Jake Matthews faced Sean Brady and walked away in defeat via an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Brady ended up landing 133 of 187 total strikes attempted in that fight. Matthews walked away from this fight having landed 32 of 95 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Brady ended up landing 37 of 68, which gave him a rate of 54%. He landed 23 of 52 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Matthews ended up landing 25% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 21 of 84. Of those significant strikes, he landed 17 of 76 to the head. 56% of the significant strikes landed by Brady and 90% of them connected on by Matthews were done at distance.

In the last fight for Jeremiah Wells, he went up against Warlley Alves and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Alves landed 66% of his significant strikes at distance and Wells ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes at distance. Wells landed 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 21 of 52. He landed 17 of 48 significant strikes directed at the head. Alves connected on 15 of 17 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 1 of 2 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Alves was 15 of 17 while Wells was 29 of 62 total strikes.

Other bouts to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alonzo Menifield enters the Octagon against William Knight. Menifield looks to add a win to his total of 11-2-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Knight comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 10-2-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 73". In the grappling category, Alonzo Menifield is averaging a takedown 0.56 times per 3 rounds while William Knight scores a takedown 2.36 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Menifield connects for an average of 4.13 strikes/minute and landing 54% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is William Knight, who tags the opposition on 72% of the strikes he has attempted and lands 3.55 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Chris Gruetzemacher is set to enter the Octagon against Claudio Puelles. Puelles steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-2-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Gruetzemacher measures in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 15-4-0. The 35-year-old reaches 68". When it comes to takedowns, Claudio Puelles stops 62% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 47% of his attempts. Gruetzemacher is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the tries he takes and thwarts 61% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Puelles is absorbing 3.02 strikes per minute and he connects on 1.76 strikes/min. Gruetzemacher, on the other hand, absorbs 5.35 strikes per minute and is landing 6.93 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jeremiah Wells (+160)

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