Julianna Pena vs Sara McMann Pick, 1/23/2021 Predictions UFC 257 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/22/2021

Julianna Pena vs Sara McMann

UFC 257

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, January 23, 2021

Julianna Pena will face off with Sara McMann at UFC 257 on Saturday, January 23, 2021. The line has Pena at +110 while McMann is at -130.

Julianna "The Venezuelan Vixen" Pena looks to add a win to her career record of 10-4-0. The 31-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 69". Sara McMann stands 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-5-0. The 40-year-old extends her reach 66". When talking about significant strikes, Julianna Pena is connecting on 2.80 per minute and Sara McMann is connecting on 2.39 significant strikes per min. Pena is landing 47% of the significant strikes she attempts and McMann is connecting on 46%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Venezuelan Vixen" takes 1.73 significant strikes per minute and McMann allows 1.86. Pena also deflects 51% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and McMann stops 47% of the strikes thrown her way.

In the category of takedowns, Julianna Pena is the lesser skilled wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.73 times per 15 minutes. Pena is scoring a takedown on 51% of her tries and stopping 28% of all takedown attempts. McMann is taking her opponents to the canvas on 63% of the takedowns she attempts and is stuffing 66% of the attempts against her. When it comes to going for the sub, Pena is the more skilled technician by going for 0.8 submissions per 15 min while McMann goes for 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

In her last fight, Julianna Pena fought Germaine de Randamie and ended up taking the loss by a guillotine choke in round 3. Randamie ended up landing 57 of 119 total strikes attempted in that contest. Pena walked away from this fight having landed 58 of 125 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Randamie landed 37 of 91, which means her percentage was 40%. She finished the fight landing 32 of 86 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Pena ended up landing 29% of her significant strikes by connecting on 27 of 91. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she landed 19 of 79 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Randamie and 66% of them connected on by Pena were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Sara McMann, she battled Lina Lansberg and wound up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Lansberg ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes she took from distance and McMann ended up landing 2% of the significant strikes she took from distance. McMann connected on 76% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 38 of 50. She ended up connecting on 22 of 32 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lansberg ended up landing 1 of 5 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 0 of 4 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Lansberg ended up landing 36 of 51 and McMann landed 62 of 84 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Dustin Poirier meets Conor McGregor. Poirier holds a mark of 26-6-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 72". McGregor measures in at 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a record of 22-4-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 74". When it comes to grappling, Dustin Poirier is averaging a takedown 1.46 times per 15 min while Conor McGregor is averaging a takedown 0.75 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Poirier connects on 5.57 strikes per minute and connecting on 50% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Conor McGregor, who is landing 49% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 5.43 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Ottman Azaitar is set to go up against Matt Frevola. Frevola walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-1-1. The 30-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Azaitar stands in at 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 13-0-0. The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of wrestling, Matt Frevola is stopping 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of the times he tries. Azaitar is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his attempts and is able to curb 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Frevola takes 3.47 strikes per min and he deals 3.19 per minute. Azaitar, on the other hand, absorbs 1.76 strikes/min and dishes out 8.43 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Julianna Pena (+110)

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