Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Pick, 4/24/2021 Predictions UFC 261 Odds

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal

UFC 261

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Kamaru Usman will take on Jorge Masvidal at UFC 261 on Saturday, April 24, 2021. The line has Usman at -410 while Masvidal is coming in at +330.

Kamaru "The Nigerian Nightmare" Usman looks to add a win to his career record of 18-1-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 76". Jorge "Gamebred" Masvidal stands 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 35-14-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 74". Concerning significant strikes, Kamaru Usman is connecting on 4.66 per minute and Jorge Masvidal lands 4.20 significant strikes per min. Usman is landing 54% of the significant strikes he tries and Masvidal connects on 47%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Nigerian Nightmare" takes 2.33 significant strikes per minute and "Gamebred" takes 3.00. Usman also defends against 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Masvidal is able to defend against 65% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning takedowns, Kamaru Usman is the more efficient grappler as he gets a takedown 3.22 times per 15 min. Usman is getting his opponent to the mat on 47% of his tries and thwarting 70% of all takedowns attempted on him. Masvidal is taking his opponents to the canvas on 59% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 77% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding submission attempts, Usman is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.1 finishes per 3 rds while Masvidal tries 0.4 finishes per 15 min.

In his last fight, Kamaru Usman fought Gilbert Burns and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Burns ended up landing 55 of 124 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Usman walked away from this fight having landed 93 of 149 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Burns ended up landing 45 of 108, giving him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 18 of 75 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Usman landed 61% of his significant strikes by sticking 83 of 136. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 56 of 105 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Burns and 65% of them landed by Usman were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Jorge Masvidal, he faced off with Kamaru Usman and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 5. Usman ended up connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Masvidal ended up connecting on 57% of his significant strikes at distance. Masvidal ended up connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 66 of 125. He landed 23 of 69 significant strikes to the head. Usman landed 94 of 151 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 43 of 96 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Usman ended up landing 263 of 341 while Masvidal ended up connecting on 88 of 157 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Uriah Hall encounters Chris Weidman. Hall has a career record of 17-9-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 79". Weidman stands 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 15-5-0. The 36-year-old has a wingspan of 78". In terms of takedowns, Uriah Hall is averaging a takedown 0.67 times per 15 minutes and Chris Weidman scores a takedown 3.93 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Hall connects on 3.34 strikes/min and landing 51% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Chris Weidman, who connects on 43% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 3.03 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Jimmy Crute is set to square up against Anthony Smith. Smith walks into the Octagon with a record of 34-16-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Crute measures 6'2" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 12-1-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 74". Concerning grappling, Anthony Smith prevents 51% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of his attempts. Crute is taking his opponents to the mat on 75% of his attempts and stops 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Smith is taking 4.38 strikes per min while he is connecting on 2.94 strikes/min. Crute, on the contrary, absorbs 2.31 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.36 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Kamaru Usman (-410)

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