Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/28/2021

ufc picks Kyle Daukaus predictions best bet odds

Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus

UFC Vegas 38

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 2, 2021

Kevin Holland will face off against Kyle Daukaus at UFC Vegas 38 on Saturday, October 2, 2021. The opening odds have Holland at -158 while Daukaus is at +128.

Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland has a career mark of 21-7-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 81". Kyle Daukaus stands in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 76". When talking about significant strikes, Kevin Holland is connecting on 3.74 per min and Kyle Daukaus lands 3.23 significant strikes per min. Holland is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes he attempts while Daukaus lands 53%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Trailblazer" allows 2.33 significant strikes per minute while Daukaus allows 2.72. Holland also stops 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Daukaus stops 39% of the strikes thrown his way.

UFC Vegas 38	Kevin Holland	Kyle Daukaus
Opening Odds	-158	+128
Record	21-7-0	10-2-0
Average Fight Time	12:34	15:00
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	81"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.74	3.23
Striking Accuracy	54%	53%

Regarding takedowns, Kevin Holland is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.92 times per 3 rounds. Holland is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his tries and stopping 47% of all takedowns attempted on him. Daukaus is getting his opponent to the mat on 29% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Holland is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.6 subs per 3 rounds while Daukaus attempts 1.2 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Kevin Holland fought Marvin Vettori and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Vettori ended up landing 152 of 250 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Holland finished this fight landing 138 of 214 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Vettori ended up landing 24 of 64, which means his percentage was 37%. He landed 22 of 61 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Holland ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by landing 37 of 103. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 24 of 81 aimed at the head. 62% of the significant strikes connected on by Vettori and 83% of them connected on by Holland were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Kyle Daukaus, he fought Phil Hawes and ended up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hawes landed 50% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Daukaus ended up landing 92% of his significant strikes at distance. Daukaus ended up landing 34% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 28 of 82. He connected on 20 of 68 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hawes ended up connecting on 66 of 101 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 42 of 75 aimed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Hawes landed 157 of 210 while Daukaus was 52 of 113 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Alex Oliveira fights Niko Price. Oliveira will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-10-1. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Price measures 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 76". In the grappling category, Alex Oliveira scores a takedown 2.37 times per 15 minutes and Niko Price is averaging a takedown 0.75 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Oliveira lands 2.86 strikes/min and is connecting on 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Niko Price, who lands 41% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 5.29 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Krzysztof Jotko is set to encounter Misha Cirkunov. Cirkunov walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-6-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Jotko measures 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 77". When it comes to takedowns, Misha Cirkunov is stopping 71% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 57% of his attempts. Jotko is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his tries and is able to curb 87% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Cirkunov is taking 3.22 strikes per minute and he is landing 4.18 strikes per minute. Jotko, in contrast, absorbs 2.20 strikes/minute and dishes out 2.94 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Kyle Daukaus (+128)

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Kevin Holland vs Kyle Daukaus Pick, 10/2/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 38 Odds

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