Luis Pena vs Alexander Munoz Pick, 4/17/2021 Predictions UFC on ESPN 22 Odds

Luis Pena vs Alexander Munoz

UFC on ESPN 22

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Luis Pena will enter the Octagon with Alexander Munoz at UFC on ESPN 22 on Saturday, April 17, 2021. The line has Pena priced at -145 while Munoz is coming in at +125.

Luis "Violent Bob Ross" Pena steps into the cage holding a mark of 8-3-0. The 27-year-old weighs 155 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Alexander Munoz stands 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a mark of 6-1-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 72". Regarding significant strikes, Luis Pena lands 3.26 per min while Alexander Munoz connects on 3.27 significant strikes per min. Pena is connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts and Munoz is landing 40%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Violent Bob Ross" absorbs 2.74 significant strikes per minute and Munoz absorbs 5.23. Pena also defends 50% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Munoz is able to thwart 52% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Luis Pena is not as effective of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.37 times per 15 min. Pena is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his tries and is defending 45% of all takedowns attempted on him. Munoz is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 10% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Pena is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 1.4 submissions per 3 rounds while Munoz goes for 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

In his previous fight, Luis Pena went up against Khama Worthy and walked away with a loss by a guillotine choke in round 3. Worthy landed 66 of 114 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Pena walked away from this fight having landed 40 of 79 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Worthy landed 55 of 101, which means his percentage was 54%. He ended up landing 20 of 61 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Pena landed 49% of his significant strikes by landing 38 of 77. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 25 of 61 to the head. 92% of the significant strikes landed by Worthy and 86% of them landed by Pena were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Alexander Munoz, he went up against Nasrat Haqparast and wound up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Haqparast connected on 99% of his significant strikes at distance and Munoz ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Munoz ended up connecting on 25% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 37 of 144. He connected on 32 of 136 significant strikes directed at the head. Haqparast ended up landing 104 of 215 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 93 of 201 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Haqparast connected on 108 of 219 and Munoz connected on 40 of 147 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ricardo Ramos encounters Bill Algeo. Ramos will be looking to add a win to his career total of 14-3-0. The 25-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Algeo measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout with a record of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 73". In the grappling category, Ricardo Ramos is averaging a takedown 1.99 times per 3 rds while Bill Algeo takes his opponents to the canvas 0.67 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Ramos lands 3.00 strikes per minute and is connecting on 39% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Bill Algeo, who tags his opponent on 56% of his attempted strikes and connects on 6.80 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Juan Espino is set to encounter Alexander Romanov. Romanov has a record of 13-0-0. The 30-year-old weighs 262 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Espino stands in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 255 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 11-1-0. The 40-year-old has a wingspan of 80". In terms of wrestling, Alexander Romanov is thwarting 10% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 66% of his tries. Espino is taking his opponents to the mat on 77% of his attempts and curbs 10% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Romanov is absorbing 1.76 strikes per min and he deals 4.31 per min. Espino, moreover, is absorbing 0.54 strikes/min and is dealing 4.32 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Luis Pena (-145)

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