Michael Chiesa vs Sean Brady Pick, 11/20/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 43 Odds

Michael Chiesa vs Sean Brady

UFC Vegas 43

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 20, 2021

Michael Chiesa will face off against Sean Brady at UFC Vegas 43 on Saturday, November 20, 2021. The opening odds have Chiesa priced at +135 while Brady is at -155.

Michael "Maverick" Chiesa walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-5-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 75". Sean Brady comes in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 14-0-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of significant strikes, Michael Chiesa is landing 1.87 per minute and Sean Brady is landing 4.72 significant strikes per min. Chiesa connects on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts while Brady is connecting on 55%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Maverick" allows 1.72 significant strikes per min while Brady absorbs 3.60. Chiesa also thwarts 54% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Brady is able to curb 63% of them.

Concerning wrestling, Michael Chiesa is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.62 times per 3 rounds. Chiesa is taking his opponents to the canvas on 53% of his attempts and is stopping 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Brady is finishing his takedown attempts on 60% of his takedown tries and is stopping 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Chiesa is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 1.1 subs per 3 rds while Brady tries 1.2 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Michael Chiesa fought Vicente Luque and walked away in defeat via d'arce choke in round 1. Luque landed 8 of 13 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Chiesa ended the night having landed 6 of 16 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Luque landed 7 of 12, which gave him a rate of 58%. He landed 2 of 7 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Chiesa landed 33% of his significant strikes by landing 4 of 12. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 12 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Luque and 100% of them connected on by Chiesa were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Sean Brady, he squared up with Jake Matthews and ended up winning this fight via an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Matthews connected on 90% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Brady connected on 56% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Brady connected on 54% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 37 of 68. He ended up landing 23 of 52 significant strikes aimed at the head. Matthews ended up landing 21 of 84 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 17 of 76 directed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Matthews ended up connecting on 32 of 95 while Brady ended up connecting on 133 of 187 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Rani Yahya encounters Kyung Ho Kang. Yahya walks into the cage holding a record of 27-10-1. The 37-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Ho Kang stands in at 5'9" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 17-8-0. The 34-year-old stretches 73". When it comes to grappling, Rani Yahya takes his opponents to the mat 2.89 times per 3 rounds and Kyung Ho Kang is averaging a takedown 2.53 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Yahya lands 1.57 strikes per minute and connecting on 37% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Kyung Ho Kang, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 2.52 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Adrian Yanez is set to square up in the Octagon against Davey Grant. Grant walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-5-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Yanez measures in at 5'7" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 14-3-0. The 27-year-old reaches 70". In terms of wrestling, Davey Grant is thwarting 60% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 46% of his attempts. Yanez is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 80% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Grant is absorbing 3.25 strikes per min while he is landing 4.21 strikes per min. Yanez, at the same time, takes 4.80 strikes/min and deals 6.13 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Michael Chiesa (+135)

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