Michael Johnson vs Clay Guida Pick, 2/6/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 18 Odds

Michael Johnson vs Clay Guida

UFC Vegas 18

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Michael Johnson will battle Clay Guida at UFC Vegas 18 on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The opening moneyline has Johnson coming in at -220 while Guida is priced at +180.

Michael "The Menace" Johnson comes into this bout with a record of 20-16-0. The 34-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Clay "The Carpenter" Guida comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 35-17-0. The 39-year-old stretches 70". In the category of significant strikes, Michael Johnson is landing 4.23 per min while Clay Guida lands 2.41 significant strikes per minute. Johnson connects on 38% of the significant strikes he throws while Guida is landing 33%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Menace" allows 3.85 significant strikes per min while "The Carpenter" absorbs 2.52. Johnson also curbs 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Guida stops 64% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning wrestling, Michael Johnson is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.51 times per 3 rds. Johnson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his attempts and defending 79% of the takedowns his opponents try. Guida is scoring a takedown on 38% of the takedowns he tries and defending 68% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the sub, Johnson is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.1 submission per 15 minutes while Guida looks to get 0.7 submissions per 3 rds.

In his last fight, Michael Johnson went up against Thiago Moises and ended up walking away in defeat via an ankle lock after being dropped to the ground in round 2. Moises landed 1 of 16 total strikes attempted in that contest. Johnson walked away from this fight having landed 28 of 61 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Moises landed 1 of 16, which gave him a percentage of 6%. He landed 0 of 13 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Johnson landed 45% of his significant strikes by landing 27 of 60. Out of those significant strikes, he was 8 of 24 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Moises and 96% of them landed by Johnson were done at distance.

In the last bout for Clay Guida, he battled Bobby Green and was on the losing end of this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Green ended up connecting on 64% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Guida ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Guida ended up connecting on 35% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 23 of 65. He ended up landing 10 of 46 significant strikes to the head. Green ended up connecting on 85 of 150 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 38 of 95 to the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Green landed 90 of 158 while Guida connected on 27 of 69 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Mike Rodriguez fights Danilo Marques. Rodriguez will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 11-5-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'4". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 82". Marques measures 6'6" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 10-2-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 77". Regarding grappling, Mike Rodriguez gets his opposition to the mat 0.50 times per 3 rounds and Danilo Marques takes his opponents to the canvas 4.00 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Rodriguez lands 5.19 strikes per minute and landing 59% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Danilo Marques, who tags the opposition on 72% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 1.07 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Martin Day is set to battle Timur Valiev. Valiev walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Day stands 5'10" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 8-5-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding wrestling, Timur Valiev is preventing 50% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedowns on 27% of his tries. Day is taking his opponents to the mat on 60% of the tries he takes and defends against 76% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Valiev absorbs 3.72 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 9.45 strikes/minute. Day, at the same time, is absorbing 3.83 strikes per min and deals 5.06 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Clay Guida (+180)

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