Nik Lentz vs Movsar Evloev Pick, 1/23/2021 Predictions UFC 257 Odds

Nik Lentz vs Movsar Evloev

UFC 257

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, January 23, 2021

Nik Lentz will face off with Movsar Evloev at UFC 257 on Saturday, January 23, 2021. The line has Lentz at +395 while Evloev is coming in at -495.

Nik "The Carny" Lentz has a mark of 30-11-2. The 36-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Movsar Evloev stands 5'7" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 13-0-0. The 26-year-old reaches 72". With respect to significant strikes, Nik Lentz connects on 3.46 per min and Movsar Evloev is connecting on 4.44 significant strikes per minute. Lentz is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Evloev is connecting on 43%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Carny" absorbs 3.14 significant strikes per minute and Evloev takes 2.76. Lentz also prevents 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Evloev is able to deflect 65% of them.

Regarding grappling, Nik Lentz is the more productive grappler as he is averaging a takedown 3.41 times per 15 minutes. Lentz is scoring a takedown on 33% of the times he tries and thwarting 45% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Evloev is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 68% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Lentz is the more capable of the two fighters by attempting 1.2 submissions per 15 min while Evloev goes for 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

In his previous bout, Nik Lentz squared up with Arnold Allen and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Allen landed 68 of 137 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Lentz ended the night having landed 63 of 190 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Allen ended up landing 63 of 131, which gave him a rate of 48%. He ended up landing 58 of 124 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Lentz ended up landing 28% of his significant strikes by connecting on 49 of 172. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 25 of 140 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Allen and 85% of them landed by Lentz were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Movsar Evloev, he went up against Mike Grundy and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Grundy ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Evloev landed 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Evloev connected on 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 79 of 150. He landed 53 of 120 significant strikes directed at the head. Grundy landed 20 of 66 significant strikes in that battle. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 11 of 53 to the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Grundy ended up connecting on 25 of 80 while Evloev was 96 of 173 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Amir Albazi goes up against Zhalgas Zhumagulov. Albazi walks into the cage with a record of 13-1-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Zhumagulov measures in at 5'4" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The switch fighter has a career mark of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 66". When it comes to grappling, Amir Albazi takes his opponents to the mat 3.19 times per 3 rounds while Zhalgas Zhumagulov is able to score a takedown 2.00 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Albazi connects on 2.55 strikes per min and connects on 42% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Zhalgas Zhumagulov, who connects on 55% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.40 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Joanne Calderwood is set to take on Jessica Eye. Eye holds a mark of 15-8-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Calderwood measures in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 14-5-0. The 35-year-old reaches 65". In terms of grappling, Jessica Eye is thwarting 56% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 45% of her tries. Calderwood is taking her opponents down on 57% of the attempts she tries and is able to stop 55% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Eye is taking 3.54 strikes per min and she is landing 3.65 strikes/min. Calderwood, at the same time, is taking 4.31 strikes/min and is dishing out 6.17 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Nik Lentz (+395)

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