Poliana Botelho vs Luana Carolina Pick, 5/1/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 25 Odds

Poliana Botelho vs Luana Carolina

UFC Vegas 25

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, May 1, 2021

Poliana Botelho will face off against Luana Carolina at UFC Vegas 25 on Saturday, May 1, 2021. The opener has Botelho priced at -240 while Carolina is at +200.

Poliana Botelho comes into this bout with a record of 8-3-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Luana "Dread" Carolina comes in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 69". Regarding significant strikes, Poliana Botelho connects on 3.00 per minute and Luana Carolina is landing 6.29 significant strikes per minute. Botelho is connecting on 56% of the significant strikes she attempts while Carolina connects on 50%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Botelho allows 3.08 significant strikes per minute while "Dread" allows 3.75. Botelho also defends 50% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Carolina prevents 47% of the strikes thrown her way.

Regarding takedowns, Poliana Botelho is the more skilled wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.89 times per 3 rounds. Botelho is scoring a takedown on 80% of the times she tries and is stuffing 80% of all takedown attempts. Carolina is getting her opponent to the mat on 20% of her takedown tries and is stopping 90% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding submissions, Botelho is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds while Carolina attempts 2.4 finishes per 3 rds.

The last time she fought, Poliana Botelho squared up with Gillian Robertson and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Robertson ended up landing 104 of 161 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Botelho finished this fight landing 39 of 61 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Robertson ended up landing 57 of 98, giving her a percentage of 58%. She ended up landing 43 of 77 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Botelho landed 51% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 22 of 43. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 11 of 32 to the head. 15% of the significant strikes landed by Robertson and 68% of them landed by Botelho were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Luana Carolina, she went up against Ariane Lipski and ended up losing the fight by way of a kneebar from bottom guard in round 1. Carolina ended up connecting on 50% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 2 of 4. She connected on 0 of 2 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lipski ended up connecting on 3 of 4 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up landing 1 of 2 aimed at the head. Relating to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Lipski ended up landing 11 of 12 while Carolina connected on 2 of 4 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Randa Markos enters the Octagon with Luana Pinheiro. Markos has a record of 10-11-1. The 35-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 63". Pinheiro measures 5'2" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 8-1-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 62". In terms of takedowns, Randa Markos takes her opponents to the mat 1.23 times per 3 rounds and Luana Pinheiro takes her opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Markos is connecting on 2.85 strikes/min and connects on 41% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Luana Pinheiro, who lands 40% of the strikes she has thrown and lands an average of 3.57 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Sam Hughes is set to enter the Octagon with Loma Lookboonmee. Lookboonmee has a mark of 5-2-0. The 25-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 61". Hughes measures 5'5" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 5-2-0. The 28-year-old reaches 64". In the category of takedowns, Loma Lookboonmee deflects 72% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 25% of her tries. Hughes is finishing her takedown tries on 20% of her tries and is able to defend against 40% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Lookboonmee is absorbing 3.09 strikes/minute while she is dealing 5.16 strikes per min. Hughes, on the contrary, takes 10.40 strikes/min and is dishing out 4.00 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Poliana Botelho (-240)

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