Rob Font vs Jose Aldo Pick, 12/4/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 44 Odds

Rob Font vs Jose Aldo

UFC Vegas 44

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 4, 2021

Rob Font will battle Jose Aldo at UFC Vegas 44 on Saturday, December 4, 2021. The moneyline has Font coming in at -140 while Aldo is at +120.

Rob Font steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 19-4-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Jose Aldo stands in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 30-7-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of significant strikes, Rob Font is connecting on 5.58 per minute and Jose Aldo connects on 3.63 significant strikes per minute. Font connects on 43% of the significant strikes he tries while Aldo is connecting on 45%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Font allows 3.57 significant strikes per minute and Aldo allows 3.59. Font also curbs 61% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Aldo is able to deflect 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, Rob Font is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.20 times per 15 min. Font is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of the times he tries and stopping 53% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Aldo is scoring a takedown on 56% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 91% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Font is the more apt fighter by going for 0.6 finishes per 3 rds while Aldo goes for 0.1 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Rob Font squared up with Cody Garbrandt and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Garbrandt ended up landing 78 of 159 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Font finished this fight landing 183 of 374 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Garbrandt ended up landing 63 of 142, which gave him a percentage of 44%. He finished the fight landing 45 of 120 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Font landed 48% of his significant strikes by connecting on 176 of 365. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 145 of 326 to the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Garbrandt and 95% of them connected on by Font were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jose Aldo, he went up against Pedro Munhoz and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Munhoz ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Aldo connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Aldo connected on 51% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 114 of 223. He landed 74 of 168 significant strikes to the head. Munhoz ended up landing 75 of 179 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 35 of 131 aimed at the head. In regard to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Munhoz landed 75 of 179 and Aldo landed 114 of 223 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Brad Riddell enters the Octagon against Rafael Fiziev. Riddell comes into this fight with a record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Fiziev stands 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his record of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of takedowns, Brad Riddell gets his opposition to the mat 2.00 times per 15 min and Rafael Fiziev takes his opponents to the mat 0.59 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Riddell is connecting on 4.75 strikes/min and lands 53% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Rafael Fiziev, who is connecting on 52% of the strikes he has tried and lands 5.34 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Leonardo Santos is set to square up against Clay Guida. Guida walks into the Octagon holding a record of 36-18-0. The 39-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Santos comes in at 6'0" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 18-5-1. The 41-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding takedowns, Clay Guida prevents 68% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedowns on 38% of his attempts. Santos is finishing his takedown tries on 29% of the attempts he tries and thwarts 89% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Guida absorbs 2.71 strikes per min and he lands 2.53 strikes per minute. Santos, on the other hand, is absorbing 2.77 strikes per min and is dealing 2.65 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Rob Font (-140)

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