Song Yadong vs Julio Arce Pick, 11/13/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 42 Odds

Song Yadong vs Julio Arce

UFC Vegas 42

UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 13, 2021

Song Yadong will battle Julio Arce at UFC Vegas 42 on Saturday, November 13, 2021. The moneyline has Yadong coming in at -155 while Arce is at +135.

Kevin "Trailblazer" Holland steps into the cage holding a record of 17-5-1. The 23-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 67". Kyle Daukaus comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-4-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When talking about significant strikes, Song Yadong is landing 4.91 per minute and Julio Arce is connecting on 4.31 significant strikes per minute. Yadong connects on 42% of the significant strikes he tries and Arce is landing 36%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Yadong allows 3.90 significant strikes per minute while Arce allows 2.94. Yadong also deflects 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Arce defends against 67% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to grappling, Song Yadong is the not as competent as a grappler as he gets a takedown 0.49 times per 3 rounds. Yadong is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of the times he tries and thwarting 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Arce is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 93% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Yadong is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Arce attempts 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last fight, Song Yadong fought Casey Kenney and took home the win via split decision in round 3. Kenney ended up landing 85 of 199 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Yadong walked away from this fight having landed 121 of 263 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Kenney landed 78 of 190, giving him a percentage of 41%. He finished the fight landing 45 of 140 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Yadong landed 45% of his significant strikes by sticking 116 of 257. Of those significant strikes, he landed 66 of 197 pointed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Kenney and 94% of them connected on by Yadong were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Julio Arce, he went up against Andre Ewell and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 2. Ewell landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Arce ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Arce connected on 37% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 42 of 113. He ended up landing 27 of 88 significant strikes directed at the head. Ewell ended up connecting on 31 of 97 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 10 of 63 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Ewell was 31 of 98 and Arce was 44 of 115 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Thiago Moises takes on Joel Alvarez. Moises looks to add a victory to his record of 15-5-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Alvarez stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 18-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 77". In the grappling category, Thiago Moises takes his opponents to the mat 1.03 times per 15 minutes and Joel Alvarez scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Moises lands 2.49 strikes per minute and is connecting on 37% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Joel Alvarez, who is connecting on 37% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.84 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Khaos Williams is set to go up against Miguel Baeza. Baeza will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-1-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Williams stands in at 6'0" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 12-2-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In the category of takedowns, Miguel Baeza curbs 90% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 40% of the times he tries. Williams is taking his opponents down on 20% of his tries and thwarts 30% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Baeza absorbs 5.09 strikes per minute while he is landing 5.30 strikes per minute. Williams, on the other side, is taking 3.59 strikes per minute and dishes out 5.20 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Julio Arce (+135)

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