Timur Valiev vs Martin Day Pick, 2/6/2021 Predictions UFC Vegas 18 Odds

Timur Valiev vs Martin Day

UFC Vegas 18

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 6, 2021

Timur Valiev will take on Martin Day at UFC Vegas 18 on Saturday, February 6, 2021. The moneyline has Valiev at -360 while Day is priced at +300.

Timur "Lucky" Valiev walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-2-0. The 31-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 67". Martin "The Spartan" Day stands 5'10" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 8-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 73". Regarding significant strikes, Timur Valiev connects on 9.45 per minute and Martin Day is landing 5.06 significant strikes per minute. Valiev connects on 70% of the significant strikes he attempts while Day is landing 46%. Regarding defense, "Lucky" takes 3.72 significant strikes per minute and "The Spartan" allows 3.83. Valiev also curbs 48% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Day is able to curb 58% of the shots thrown in his direction.

Concerning grappling, Timur Valiev is the not as competent as a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.4 times per 15 minutes. Valiev is finishing his takedown attempts on 27% of the times he tries and is defending 50% of all takedown tries against him. Day is taking his opponents down on 60% of his takedown tries and thwarting 76% of the attempts against him. Regarding sub attempts, Valiev is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 3 rds while Day attempts 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Timur Valiev fought Trevin Jones and the bout was deemed a no contest because of a failed drug test by Jones after the fight. Jones landed 31 of 55 total strikes attempted in that contest. Valiev finished this fight landing 66 of 93 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Jones ended up landing 26 of 50, which gave him a percentage of 52%. He ended up landing 21 of 44 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Valiev ended up landing 70% of his significant strikes by landing 66 of 93. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 28 of 50 pointed at the head. 42% of the significant strikes landed by Jones and 90% of them landed by Valiev were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Martin Day, he faced off with Anderson Dos Santos and was defeated by guillotine choke in round 1. Santos ended up landing 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Day connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Day landed 75% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 9 of 12. He ended up connecting on 3 of 4 significant strikes directed at the head. Santos landed 11 of 20 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 13 directed at the head. In relation to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Santos landed 22 of 31 and Day connected on 16 of 19 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Devonte Smith meets Justin Jaynes. Smith comes into this fight holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Jaynes measures 5'7" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-6-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 68". When it comes to grappling, Devonte Smith is able to score a takedown 0.4 times per 15 min while Justin Jaynes is able to score a takedown 0.6 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Smith tags his opponents 6.88 strikes/minute and is connecting on 56% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Justin Jaynes, who connects on 43% of the strikes that he throws and lands 4.79 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Youssef Zalal is set to square up against Seung Woo Choi. Woo Choi holds a career record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Zalal measures in at 5'10" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 10-3-0. The 24-year-old reaches 72". Regarding wrestling, Seung Woo Choi defends against 66% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries. Zalal is taking his opponents down on 42% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 60% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Woo Choi takes 2.77 strikes/min while he deals 3.33 strikes per minute. Zalal, on the contrary, absorbs 1.27 strikes per min and is dishing out 2.68 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Martin Day (+300)

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