Tracy Cortez vs Justine Kish Pick, 4/17/2021 Predictions UFC on ESPN 22 Odds

Tracy Cortez vs Justine Kish

UFC on ESPN 22

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Tracy Cortez will take on Justine Kish at UFC on ESPN 22 on Saturday, April 17, 2021. The line has Cortez coming in at -265 while Kish is coming in at +225.

Tracy Cortez has a mark of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Justine Kish comes in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 7-3-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 64". In terms of significant strikes, Tracy Cortez connects on 3.67 per min and Justine Kish lands 4.65 significant strikes per minute. Cortez connects on 53% of the significant strikes she tries and Kish lands 48%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Cortez absorbs 1.98 significant strikes per min while Kish takes 4.62. Cortez also stops 62% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way while Kish thwarts 59% of the strikes thrown her way.

In the grappling category, Tracy Cortez is the more skilled wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 3.00 times per 15 min. Cortez is finishing her takedown attempts on 42% of her tries and thwarting 85% of all takedown attempts. Kish is getting her opponent to the mat on 35% of her takedown tries and stopping 55% of the attempts against her. When it comes to sub attempts, Cortez is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.1 finishes per 15 min while Kish goes for 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds.

In her previous fight, Tracy Cortez faced Stephanie Egger and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Egger ended up landing 27 of 70 total strikes attempted in that contest. Cortez walked away from this fight having landed 66 of 109 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Egger landed 10 of 32, which means her percentage was 31%. She landed 6 of 24 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Cortez landed 47% of her significant strikes by sticking 20 of 42. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 11 of 28 pointed at the head. 80% of the significant strikes connected on by Egger and 45% of them landed by Cortez were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Justine Kish, she went up against Sabina Mazo and walked away with a loss by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Mazo ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Kish connected on 94% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Kish ended up connecting on 44% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 93 of 210. She ended up connecting on 25 of 118 significant strikes to the head. Mazo ended up connecting on 131 of 275 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 45 of 158 to the head. In regard to the strikes she fired off in this contest, Mazo was 131 of 275 while Kish connected on 94 of 212 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Robert Whittaker faces off against Kelvin Gastelum. Whittaker steps into the cage holding a mark of 23-5-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 73". Gastelum stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 17-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 71". In the wrestling category, Robert Whittaker gets his opposition to the mat 0.43 times per 15 min while Kelvin Gastelum is able to score a takedown 1.22 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Whittaker lands an average of 4.52 strikes/minute and connecting on 40% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Kelvin Gastelum, who is connecting on 43% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 3.64 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Drakkar Klose is set to clash with Jeremy Stephens. Stephens walks into the Octagon with a record of 28-18-0. The 34-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Klose stands 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 11-2-1. The 33-year-old reaches 70". Regarding takedowns, Jeremy Stephens is able to stop 65% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 38% of the times he tries. Klose is finishing his takedown tries on 30% of the tries he takes and thwarts 68% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Stephens takes 3.06 strikes/min while he is dishing out 3.18 strikes per minute. Klose, on the contrary, takes 3.64 strikes per minute and is dealing 3.89 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Tracy Cortez (-265)

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