Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Andrade Pick, 4/24/2021 Predictions UFC 261 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/20/2021

Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Andrade

UFC 261

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena in Jacksonville, FL

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Valentina Shevchenko will enter the Octagon with Jessica Andrade at UFC 261 on Saturday, April 24, 2021. The moneyline has Shevchenko priced at -380 while Andrade is coming in at +315.

Valentina "Bullet" Shevchenko will be looking to add a win to her career record of 20-3-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Jessica "Bate Estaca" Andrade comes in at 5'1" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her career total of 21-8-0. The 29-year-old extends her reach 62". In terms of significant strikes, Valentina Shevchenko is connecting on 2.98 per minute and Jessica Andrade lands 6.38 significant strikes per min. Shevchenko connects on 50% of the significant strikes she tries and Andrade is landing 49%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Bullet" takes 2.03 significant strikes per min while "Bate Estaca" absorbs 5.26. Shevchenko also stops 62% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Andrade deflects 53% of the shots thrown.

UFC 261	Valentina Shevchenko	Jessica Andrade
Opening Odds	-380	+315
Record	20-3-0	21-8-0
Average Fight Time	17:18	10:12
Height	5'5"	5'1"
Weight	125 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	66"	62"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.98	6.38
Striking Accuracy	50%	49%

When it comes to grappling, Valentina Shevchenko is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.21 times per 3 rds. Shevchenko is scoring a takedown on 58% of her tries and is defending 75% of the takedowns her opponents try. Andrade is getting her opponent to the mat on 57% of her takedown tries and thwarting 76% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Shevchenko is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Andrade looks to get 0.4 subs per 3 rds.

In her last bout, Valentina Shevchenko faced Jennifer Maia and wound up taking home the victory by unanimous decision in round 5. Maia ended up landing 94 of 152 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Shevchenko walked away from this fight having landed 249 of 317 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Maia ended up landing 36 of 88, which gave her a rate of 40%. She finished the fight landing 22 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Shevchenko landed 52% of her significant strikes by connecting on 62 of 119. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 46 of 100 aimed at the head. 63% of the significant strikes landed by Maia and 80% of them landed by Shevchenko were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jessica Andrade, she fought Rose Namajunas and walked away with a loss by split decision in round 3. Namajunas ended up landing 93% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Andrade connected on 90% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Andrade connected on 34% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 71 of 205. She landed 31 of 134 significant strikes aimed at the head. Namajunas ended up connecting on 82 of 235 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 63 of 209 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that she threw in that fight, Namajunas landed 82 of 235 while Andrade landed 79 of 213 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Kamaru Usman enters the Octagon against Jorge Masvidal. Usman has a career mark of 18-1-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 76". Masvidal stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 35-14-0. The 36-year-old reaches 74". When it comes to wrestling, Kamaru Usman is able to score a takedown 3.22 times per 3 rds and Jorge Masvidal is able to score a takedown 1.57 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Usman tags his opponents 4.66 strikes per min and is landing 54% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Jorge Masvidal, who tags the opposition on 47% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 4.20 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Chris Weidman is set to clash with Uriah Hall. Hall steps into the cage holding a mark of 17-9-0. The 36-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Weidman stands in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 15-5-0. The 36-year-old stretches 78". In terms of grappling, Uriah Hall is stopping 69% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his tries. Weidman is taking his opponents down on 47% of the attempts he tries and defends against 65% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Hall takes 3.54 strikes per minute while he deals 3.34 strikes/min. Weidman, on the other side, takes 3.15 strikes/min and dishes out 3.03 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Jessica Andrade (+315)

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Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Andrade Pick, 4/24/2021 Predictions UFC 261 Odds

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